Kim Muir Chase trends and stats

26 Jan | BY Betway Insider | MIN READ TIME |

Source: Alamy Stock Photo

What does history have to say about the Kim Muir Chase at Cheltenham Festival? To help you choose a horse to back, read our Kim Muir Chase trends guide.

Taking place on day three of Cheltenham Festival, the Kim Muir Chase is a National Hunt steeplechase that attracts top amateur jockeys and is open to horses aged five or older. Interestingly, it has also been a good pathway for horses to win massive prizes like the Cheltenham Gold Cup too!

If you’re a newcomer to Cheltenham or are only just considering putting a bet on the Kim Muir Chase, then knowing its trends beforehand can be extremely beneficial. That way, you’ll be less likely to pick a losing bet as you’ll have some knowledge to back up your decisions!

Here is a breakdown of some of the most common trends over the last ten years that can assist you when betting on Cheltenham and the Kim Muir.

Key Kim Muir trends

The Kim Muir Chase is a long-distance handicap chase that has a ceiling for jockeys rated up to 145. With it being for amateurs, unpredictability is high, and it’s also a race that’s familiar with an upset.

All of this does mean that when deciding on what bets to make, it helps to conduct a little more research rather than just looking at the odds. That is what we are here for though, giving you a complete rundown of every Kim Muir trend you should need to know about, so you can make informed bets!

Does the favourite usually win the Kim Muir Chase?

Favourites don’t seem to see much success in the Kim Muir Chase, with the top-rated runners struggling to win. Only two out of the last thirteen winners have been favourites, with both of these coming in the last five years:

Inothewayurthinkin (2024)
Mount Ida (2021)

Being an amateur race, choosing odds can be difficult as the jockeys have limited experience, adding an element of unpredictability. This has made upsets more common, with horses and jockeys having lower odds yet still coming out victorious:

Chambard (2022) – 40/1
Domesdaybook (2017) – 40/1
You’re Special (2006) – 33/1
Maximise (2004) – 40/1
Royal Predica (2003) – 33/1

What is the average age of a Kim Muir chase winning horse?

The oldest horse to win the Kim Muir Chase since 2016 was Chambard who was aged ten in 2022 , while the youngest was Inothewayurthinkin in 2024 aged six:

Daily Present (2025) – 8
Inothewayurthinkin (2024) – 6
Angels Dawn (2023) – 8
Chambard (2022) – 10
Mount Ida (2021) – 7
Milan Native (2020) – 7
Any Second Now (2019) – 7
Missed Approach (2018) – 8
Domesday Book (2017) – 7
Cause of Causes (2016) – 8

Typically, though, you’re likely best off choosing a horse aged seven or eight – these see success most often, here, with those outside the age range more likely to be outliers or a longshot.

How many Kim Muir winners won last time out?

When picking a horse for the Kim Muir, your instincts might tell you to see how they performed last time out. However, in the Kim Muir Chase, it may not be the best basis for a bet – with only two of the last twenty-three horses having won last time out! Of the last ten winners, just one won in their previous outing:

Daily Present (2025) – 3rd in the Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Amateur National (Q.R.) Handicap Chase
Inothewayurthinkin (2024) – 9th in the O’Driscolls Irish Whiskey Leopardstown Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Angels Dawn (2023) – UR (Unseated Rider) in the QuinnBet Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (Grade B)
Chambard (2022) – 1st in the 25 Matched First Bet At tote.co.uk Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Mount Ida (2021) – 2nd in the Coolmore N.H. Sires Kew Gardens Irish EBF Mares Novice Chase (Grade 2)
Milan Native (2020) – 2nd in the Download The BoyleSports App Beginners Chase
Any Second Now (2019) – 3rd in the Ladbrokes Acca Boosty Ten Up Novice Chase (Grade 2)
Missed Approach (2018) – 2nd in the bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase
Domesday Book (2017) – 3rd in the SIS Cavalry Handicap Chase
Cause of Causes (2016) – 5th in the Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase

An apparent trend, however, is most Kim Muir Chase winning horses finishing in second or third last time out, meaning they still show positive signs before heading into the race even if they don’t come in off a victory.

When did Kim Muir winners last compete?

Much like knowing if they won last time out, it is also useful to know how long it has been since the horses last competed. Though there is some variation with the amount of time between races, the overall average is around thirty-three days:

Daily Present (2025) – 60 days
Inothewayurthinkin (2024) – 39 days
Angels Dawn (2023) – 25 days
Chambard (2022) – 11 days
Mount Ida (2021) – 50 days
Milan Native (2020) – 26 days
Any Second Now (2019) – 25 days
Missed Approach (2018) – 40 days
Domesday Book (2017) – 28 days
Cause of Causes (2016) – 25 days

More often than not, it’s roughly around a month between a horse last competing and seeing victory in the Kim Muir. The true outliers to this are Daily Present and Mount Ida with 60 and 50 days respectively (both last racing in the January prior), and Chambard who had just 11 days rest.

Are Kim Muir winners usually British or Irish trained?

Irish trained horses currently dominate the last ten years of the race, winning seven compared to British trained horses’ three.

This may be something to consider when looking at which horses to bet on, with back-to-back-to-back victories earned by Irish trainers too. That said, it isn’t a guarantee that any horse will cruise to victory and if other trends point towards a British trained horse don’t let this stat hold you back!

Which trainer has had the most success in the Kim Muir?

Historically, Fred Rimell is the trainer with the most success in the Kim Muir Chase, amassing four wins between 1951 and 1977, three of which came in the space of ten years. Interestingly, two of Cheltenham’s most successful trainers in Willie Mullins and Paul Nicholls, have never actually won the event! Though Nicky Henderson has seen success in this race, he has not won it since 2005!

In recent history, there hasn’t been a trainer that has been able to dominate the event, especially in the last decade. Irish trainer Gordon Elliott has seen the most success in the last ten years though, winning in 2016 with Cause of Causes, and 2020 with Milan Native.

Daily Present (2025) – Paul Nolan
Inothewayurthinkin (2024) – Gavin Cromwell
Angels Dawn (2023) – Sam Curling
Chambard (2022) – Venetia Williams
Mount Ida (2021) – Mrs Denise Foster
Milan Native (2020) – Gordon Elliott
Any Second Now (2019) – Ted Walsh
Missed Approach (2018) – Warran Greatrex
Domesday Book (2017) – Stuart Edmunds
Cause of Causes (2016) – Gordon Elliott

There aren’t really any trainers that have cracked the code and are a must-back with regards to your bets. This leaves it a bit more of an open factor heading into the next event, with no trainer earning any significant advantage.

Why is it important to consider Kim Muir trends when betting?

So now that we have rattled off some of the most prevalent trends in the Kim Muir Chase, it’s worth discussing why they are so important when making your bets.

Of course, the given odds are a good indicator of how a horse might perform, but wider statistics and trends paint a fuller story. Especially if you consider multiple factors!

To access more tips and information on how to prepare for any other Cheltenham races, just head over to our Cheltenham blog for more guides like this!