UFC 270: Moreno vs Figueiredo odds and predictions
Guy Giles makes his pick as Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo fight for the men's flyweight title at UFC 270 in Anaheim.
Moreno v Figueiredo odds
The co-main event at UFC 270 in Anaheim is a trilogy fight between Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo for the men’s flyweight belt.
Following their incredible majority draw in December 2020, which saw Figueiredo retain his belt, it was Moreno who triumphed in the June 2021 rematch as he secured a third-round submission win.
With little competition in the division, Figueiredo gets a shot at reclaiming his belt in a third fight against Moreno, who expressed little interest in a rematch after winning the title.
Moreno has quickly become a fan favourite after becoming the first Mexican-born fighter to win a UFC belt, with his exciting style and big personality endearing him to fight fans.
‘The Assassin Baby’ heads into UFC 270 as the favourite to retain his belt.
Figueiredo initially looked like he could be an unstoppable force at 125lb, reeling off five finishes in eight fights before winning the belt.
‘God of War’ has lost that air of invincibility after that loss to Moreno, though, and is the underdog on Saturday.
Moreno v Figueiredo prediction
After an absolute war in their first meeting, Moreno totally dominated the rematch at UFC 263 in June.
He dropped Figueiredo with a stiff jab in round one, quickly recovered from a takedown and spent much of round two in top position, and then finished things with a rear naked choke at 2:26 in round three.
It was a complete performance from the Mexican, who showed his skill on the feet and the ground to seal an incredible comeback from being cut by the UFC in 2018.
A big problem for Figueiredo is weight – the Brazilian has always struggled to get down to 125lb, and his cut before UFC 263 seemed particularly tough.
That seemed to affect his confidence in the second fight as he hung back early on and handed the advantage to Moreno, who never let him into the fight.
Getting his weight cut right this time is crucial if he wants to regain his belt, but even if he manages that it will be a tough ask.
Moreno was able to pick him apart from range in their last fight, firing in one-two combos and mixing things up nicely to the body as well.
The Mexican also had the edge on the mat, flirting with a submission in round two before finding the choke in the third.
He is the more well-rounded fighter, with Figueiredo too reliant on his power to secure a finish.
Moreno will not give up his belt easily, and should he withstand the early storm from Figueiredo, expect another finish from ‘The Assassin Baby’.
Moreno to win by KO, TKO, DQ or submission
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