PGA Championship betting guide: Best bets for Southern Hills
Jack Green provides his best bets for the PGA Championship, including a player to win, an each-way shout, a top-10 finish and a first-round leader.
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Back to win: Jordan Spieth
The PGA Championship is the only major that Spieth is still yet to win, but the 28-year-old is hitting form just in time to make another run at Southern Hills.
Since missing the cut at the Masters last month, Spieth has won the RBC Heritage in a playoff and followed that up with a runner-up finish at last week’s AT&T Byron Nelson.
Although he’s never lifted the Wanamaker Trophy, Spieth has twice gone extremely close, finishing second in 2015 and T3 in 2019. A pair of top-three finishes in last year’s majors suggests he’s ready to contend in the biggest events once again after struggling through a two-year slump.
The American’s form has seen him climb back up to No. 8 in the world rankings, and if he can carry that through to Southern Hills – a course that should suit his game considering its similarity to Colonial, where he won in 2016 – then he has a great chance to complete the career Grand Slam.
Each-way shout: Shane Lowry
Lowry has consistently performed well in recent PGA Championships, making the cut in five straight, with three top-12 finishes in the last four years.
The Irishman was T4 last year – his best finish in the event to date – and he’s also coming off his best ever Masters finish, a T3 last month.
Lowry claimed his first ever major championship win at the 2019 Open, and after a down year in 2020 he looks back in the kind of form to contend. He’s posted three podium finishes on the PGA Tour already this year, including that T3 at Augusta.
That the 35-year-old ranks sixth in total shots gained and fourth in approach play on the PGA Tour this season shows just how well he’s playing, and it’d be no surprise if he’s in contention for at least another place this week.
Top-10 finish: Xander Schauffele
Schauffele is arguably the best player in the world yet to win a major. While young stars like Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa and Scottie Scheffler have all made the breakthrough in the past two years, the 28-year-old has never quite done enough to secure the big prize.
He has, however, been in contention incredibly often. From 20 career major starts, the American has earned nine top-10 finishes, including eight from 15 on American soil.
After so many close calls, it’s fair to question whether Schauffele has the killer instinct required to win on one of these high-pressure occasions, but his consistency makes him a great bet for a top-10 finish at Southern Hills.
He won the Zurich Classic of New Orleans alongside partner Patrick Cantlay last month, and followed that up with a T5 at the AT&T Byron Nelson last week.
First-round leader: Joaquin Niemann
Niemann is enjoying a really strong year, with nine made cuts from 10 events, including four finishes of 12th or better and a win at the Genesis Invitational in February.
Those results have been underpinned by his knack for strong starts. The Chilean has been inside the top 10 at the end of round one on five occasions, including last month’s Masters, when he opened with a 69, good enough for T3.
Niemann fired a 63 to lead by three shots when he won the Genesis, and was solo second at the end of Thursday’s play at the RBC Heritage in his penultimate start.
His consistency on the first day has led to him ranking second in round one scoring average on the PGA Tour, and he looks a fine bet at a big price to be top of the leaderboard again come the end of Thursday’s play at Southern Hills.