All three games of this series so far have been won by the away team, but that trend should end here.

Cleveland are to go 3-1 up for a reason.

They have won five of their seven meetings with the Celtics this season, with three of those victories coming by double-digit margins.

The Cavaliers also had the best regular-season home record in the Eastern Conference, with 31 wins and 10 defeats, while Boston lost 18 of 41 on the road.

This game won’t necessarily be a blowout, though.

Of the seven games between these teams this season, four were decided by six points or fewer – including Boston’s victory in Game 3 – while only two were by 14 points or more.

There is some value, then, in backing the handicap line of Celtics +13.5 at .

The total number of points in the game is also well worth betting on.

These two teams have combined for at least 216 points in five of their seven meetings this season.

In this series alone there have been an average of 218.7 points across the three games, and in Game 3 there were 219 scored, even though top-scorer Isaiah Thomas was missing for the Celtics.

Betting on over 214 points at is a sensible bet, along with the Cavaliers to win with over 214 total points at .

Should the Cavaliers win this game as expected, the series will be as good as over.

Only four teams in the history of the NBA have come back to win from being behind 3-1 in the Conference finals, so it’s no surprise that Cleveland are to advance to the finals.

In fact, it’s hard to see Boston winning another game in this series without injured point guard Thomas.

Given that the Celtics lost their first two home games in this series – and did the same against the Bulls in the first round – it’s worth backing Cleveland to win 4-1 at .