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Mike Tindall in Man v Machine: Round Eight

23 Oct | BY Betway | MIN READ TIME |
Mike Tindall in Man v Machine: Round Eight

The battle between the human instinct of a World Cup winner and the calculated logic of big data is getting ever closer ahead of semi-finals...

Rugby is a numbers game, yet it is also a game that is played in the head – particularly when it comes to the excruciating pressure of the final stages of a World Cup.

Throughout the 2015 tournament we have been pitching the experience of former England centre and World Cup winner Mike Tindall against the mathematical calculations of data analytics in a bid to see which can best predict how each crucial match will pan out.

After being well beaten in the pool stages, Mike came storming back in Rounds Five and Six to cut the deficit to 4-2.

Having correctly tipped Nehe Milner Skudder to score in bigger win for New Zealand, predicted a win for Argentina over Ireland with Juan Imhoff touching down and foreseen Tommy Seymour scoring for Scotland in a losing cause, it would appear that the World Cup winner certainly has the edge when it comes to knock-out rugby.

But can he continue his hot streak, or will The Machine reassert its dominance to create an unassailable lead?

The predictions for South Africa v New Zealand have already been made for Round Seven, but how do they envisage the second semi-final playing out?

Semi-final 2: Argentina v Australia (Sunday, 16:00)

The Machine says:

Australia have won 9 and lost 1 of their last 10 internationals against Argentina.

During those matches Australia have averaged 2.6 tries per game compared to Argentina’s 1.4

Australia have also averaged 27.2 points per game compared to Argentina’s 16.2, with an average winning margin of 11.

This will be the third time that the two sides have met in the Rugby World Cup, with Australia winning 32-19 in the 1991 pool stages and 24-8 in the 2003 opening game.

11/2 – Australia to win by 11-15
4/1 – Australia to score exactly 3 tries
7/4 – Argentina to score exactly 1 try
arg-ausMike says:

I think that this game is going to be a real cracker with both teams already proving that they are capable of scoring plenty of points.

Even when not playing their best rugby against Scotland, Australia still managed to create the opportunities to score five tries.

If David Pocock and Israel Folau are back for Australia then that is a big bonus for the Wallabies.

Folau has had a very quiet tournament and is due a big game so I can see him getting himself on the scoresheet and also think that Tevita Kuridrani will be in the mix again.

Yet as Argentina proved against Ireland, they are also capable of putting plenty of points on the bigger teams as well as the smaller ones.

Argentina do not miss many tackles and have to look at what Wales did against the Aussies defensively in the pool stages.

They will get up in the Australians’ faces and put them under a lot of pressure by keeping the ball off the floor with choke tackles and slowing down play by making sure that somebody is always over the ball being a disruptive influence.

I think they will get under the Wallabies’ skin by taking it to them and playing the same brand of rugby that has already brought them so much success.

Scotland showed the benefits of having no fear in attack and Argentina love to give the ball some air and have got people who can beat defenders out wide.

The likes of Juan Imhoff and Santiago Cordero on the wings will be a threat and if Agustin Creevy makes it then I believe that he will score first with a driving play.

I think that both teams have the capability to score four tries, but I am seeing an upset here and think that the Pumas will nick it by two or three points.

I’ll go for 37-34 to Argentina.

6/1 – Argentina to win by 1-5
20/1 – Argentina to score exactly 4 tries
33/1 – Agustin Creevy to score first try
9/4 – Juan Imhoff to score at any time
11/4 – Santiago Cordero to score at any time

Argentina v Australia match betting

READ: Mike Tindall: The gap between Hemispheres is marginal, but All Blacks are way out in front

READ: David Wallace: Ireland must learn to open up if they are to close the gap with superpowers