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Mike Tindall in Man v Machine: Round Six

16 Oct | BY Betway | MIN READ TIME |
Mike Tindall in Man v Machine: Round Six

The battle between the human instinct of a World Cup winner and the calculated logic of big data is about to intensify...

Rugby is a numbers game, yet it is also a game that is played in the head – particularly when it comes to the suffocating pressure of the knock-out stages of a World Cup.

Throughout the 2015 tournament we have been pitching the experience of former England centre and World Cup winner Mike Tindall against the mathematical calculations of data analytics in a bid to see which can best predict how each crucial match will pan out.

Round Four was close, with the Machine just edging it after correctly calling Australia’s winning margin against Wales to take a 4-0 lead at the conclusion of the pool stages.

Yet as the unpredictable nature of knock-out rugby takes hold, can Mike use his priceless experience and inside knowledge of what it takes to go all the way in order to pull it back?

Having already made their predictions for Saturday’s matches in Round Five, here’s how they see Sunday’s quarter-finals playing out.

Quarter-final 3: Ireland v Argentina (Sunday, 13:00)

The Machine says:

Ireland have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 internationals against Argentina.

During those matches Ireland have averaged 2 tries per game compared to Argentina’s 1.1

Ireland have also averaged 21.6 points per game compared to Argentina’s 17.2, with an average winning margin of 4.4.

However, in World Cups it is Argentina who have a superior head-to-head record having won 2 and lost 1 of their 3 meetings.

During those matches Argentina have 24.33 points per game compared to Ireland’s 18.33 with both side’s average 1 try each, with an average winning margin in Argentina’s favour of 6.

9/2 – Ireland to win by 1-5
11/4 – Ireland to score exactly 2 triesire-arg
Mike says:

This game is very difficult to call and all depends on whether Johnny Sexton fully recovers from his injury.

I would like Ireland to win but because of the massive losses that they sustained against France I can see Argentina sneaking it.

The Pumas always score tries and I fancy them to score two in this game

Again, rolling mauls will play a big part so I can see Agustin Creevy touching down at the back. They also have excellent runners out wide with Juan Imhoff the most dangerous of the bunch.

It will be very tight but I’m going to go for 24-19 to Argentina.

11/2 – Argentina to win by 1-5
8/1 – Agustin Creevy to score any time
13/5 – Juan Imhoff to score any time

Quarter-final 4: Australia v Scotland (Sunday, 16:00)

The Machine says:

Australia have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 internationals against Scotland.

During those matches Australia have averaged 3.1 tries per game compared to Scotland’s 0.6.

Australia have also averaged 27.3 points per game compared to Scotland’s 13.2, with an average winning margin of 14.1.

11/2 – Australia to win by 11-15
5/2 – Australia to score exactly 3 triesaus-sco
Mike says:

Scotland have shown massive signs of improvement during this tournament but I think that Australia will dominate in both the scrum and line-out and get the job done fairly easily.

I can see Scotland scoring a try through Tommy Seymour, but Australia just have their own danger men all over the park and probably have at least three tries in them.

Bernard Foley is in great form and his support work when he puts people through is fantastic so he could well get one.

I can see this one ending up 31-12 to Australia. 

5/1 – Australia to win by 16-20
3/1 – Bernard Foley to score any time  

Rugby World Cup betting

READ: Mike Tindall in Man v Machine: Round Five

READ: Mike Tindall: England must make their mind up which way to go with their midfield

READ: The moments, players and numbers that made the 2015 pool stages the greatest ever

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