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Edmonton Oilers (-1.5)
You never quite know which Edmonton Oilers team is going to show up. Lately, however, the good Oilers have been around a lot more than the bad.
Edmonton has won four of its last five, with a pair of wins surrounding an ugly 5-0 loss to Calgary on April 10. In all four of those wins, Edmonton has won by multiple goals.
With Carey Price injured again, the Canadiens are likely to turn to Jake Allen in net on Wednesday night. Allen has made three appearances against Edmonton this season, allowing seven goals with a 1-2-0 record in those contests. He gave up three goals to Edmonton in nearly 40 minutes of action after replacing Price. Allen has also lost five of his last seven decisions.
The Oilers didn’t have their best game Monday, but still won by multiple goals. Even with the inconsistencies this season, I’m inclined to believe they can offer that kind of performance again. That’s even with the Habs holding the season advantage of a 4-2-0 record to date.
Allen hasn’t been overly sharp, and the Oilers are on home ice where they’ve scored a ton of goals this season. So I’m going to scoop up the puck line on this one to get a little more value on the Oil.
Over 3.5 Edmonton goals
The Oilers are averaging 3.5 goals per game on home ice this year, sixth best in the NHL. They’ve also scored three or more goals in eight of their last 11 games. It’s a bit of a riskier play as the Oilers have only done it twice against the Habs, and only once on home ice where they’ve been so reliable in terms of scoring.
Still, the Oilers have the high-octane offense driven by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, who have been continuing their torrid scoring pace all season.
McDavid is averaging 1.45 points per game over the last month, while Draisaitl is humming along at a 1.27 points-per-game clip.
Connor McDavid to score 2+ points
McDavid has only had five points against the Habs in six games this season. It is the team that has given him by far the most trouble when it comes to scoring.
That was not the case when McDavid put up three points in Monday’s game, while registering four shots on goal. The speedster was obviously feeling it in that one, even showing some impressive prowess in the faceoff dot.
McDavid has at least two points in three of his last five games after going through a quieter period by his lofty standards. Even though he went off on Monday, I think he’s in the midst of a bit of a heater with a chance to push his insane season-long scoring pace up even higher.
McDavid has 24 goals and 50 assists in just 44 games so far this season. There is no one within 11 points of him for the Art Ross Trophy.
Over 30.5 Montreal shots on goal
In the six previous games against the Oilers this season, the Habs had 31 or more shots in all but one game – Monday’s contest, when they had 23.
Additionally, Edmonton has been allowing an average of 30.8 shots against per game, while Montreal has averaged 32 shots on goal per game this season.
Just playing the averages on this one, it seems like a good-enough throw in to pair with other bets to boost some value when picking this game.
#BETYOURWAY: Edmonton (-1.5), over 3.5 Edmonton goals, McDavid to score 2+ points, over 30.5 Montreal shots on goal
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