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Super Bowl LVIII tips: Best bets for MVP

05 Feb | BY Tom Hill | MIN READ TIME |
Super Bowl LVIII tips: Best bets for MVP

Tom Hill provides his tips to lift the Pete Rozelle Trophy when the San Francisco 49ers take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday in Las Vegas.

The wait is nearly over to find out who wins this year’s Super Bowl crown, with the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs just one step away from winning the ultimate prize in American sport.

While we all know it is a team effort, it will take some individual brilliance to win the contest, so here is a look at who could land the Most Valuable Player award. 

Quarterbacks dominate the market

It’s not particularly interesting, but the data backs it up – quarterbacks dominate the MVP award.

A passer has won the MVP award 32 times out of 57 Super Bowls, so it is no surprise to see Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy at the front of the market.

For a team to win the Super Bowl, their quarterback has to perform. It is as simple as that.

Mahomes is 5/4 to win the award, but Purdy offers the better value at 2/1. The 49ers are the favourites to win the Super Bowl, so Purdy has a better chance if the odds are to be believed.

Purdy has led the 49ers superbly so far this season and he has a great chance to land the spoils.

The Chiefs have struggled to stop opposition receivers in the red zone, so if that trend continues, Purdy’s stock will only rise.

McCaffrey can buck the trend

Running-backs do not tend to win the MVP award, and it has been 26 years since Terrell Davis won the prize when playing for the Denver Broncos.

That would usually force us to look elsewhere, but 49ers running-back Christian McCaffrey is no ordinary back.

The former Carolina Panthers ace is the best receiving back in the sport and he has already scored four touchdowns in the playoffs.

McCaffrey dominated the league in rushing yards and he has what it takes to take control, while he will give 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan the ability to mix up the play calls.

Dual-threat Samuel an outside chance

Niners wide receiver Deebo Samuel has not been as busy as he was in the past, but that is thanks to the organisation taking the pressure off him.

Samuel was used as a dual-threat receiver, often taking the ball on sweep plays while also being the main option for a pass.

He is still as good, but Shanahan has managed to spread the workload across his offence.

The 28-year-old has recently recovered from a shoulder injury and he was effective when the two teams met in the Super Bowl in 2020.

The Chiefs came out on top on that occasion, but Samuel’s speed caused them issues.

He has five rushing touchdowns to his name this season and he should be at the forefront of the 49ers offence. 

Best MVP bets

Brock Purdy to be named MVP /
Christian McCaffrey to be named MVP /
Deebo Samuel to be named MVP /