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Richard Hoiles: Five selections on a rain-affected Saturday

05 Apr | BY Richard Hoiles | MIN READ TIME |
Richard Hoiles: Five selections on a rain-affected Saturday

The horse racing broadcaster picks out his best bets from around the cards at Kempton, Chelmsford and Uttoxeter.

Another weekend where the weather has played a significant part, which means Kempton’s All-Weather rather than the abandoned Kelso card is the main highlight. ITV coverage will consist of five races from Kempton and either one or two from Chelmsford, depending on whether the Group 3 Alleged Stakes survives a morning inspection at the Curragh.

The main interest at Kempton concerns a good renewal of the Rosebery Handicap, where OLD HARROVIAN / (14:40 Kempton) looks to have been given a fair chance by the handicapper off a mark of 93. He was a comfortable winner of a couple of small novice races on the All Weather before taking a big hike in class when down the field in the Group 3 Aston Park Stakes at Newbury. He raced very keenly that day and the likes of Haskoy and Israr were far too strong at the weights. He did attract a fair bit of support that day and this looks a far more realistic starting point on his way to better things down the line.

Richard Hughes has his horses in flying form and, providing the eight runners all line up, BRACKENS LAUGH (E/W) / (15:30 Chelmsford) looks the way to attack their feature race worth over £50k to the winner. He will have to step up on form to match Royal Lodge third Capulet, but the stable has really been flying in the last few weeks with six winners from their last thirteen runners. The presence of Capulet gives the race a nice each-way shape, providing the field remains at eight. Aidan O’Brien is also just 8/93 (A/E 0.42) for his UK runners in April so it is far from certain Capulet will be fully wound up.

Later at Chelmsford, REBEL EMPIRE / (16:40) can win what looks a match against the debutant Capo Vaticano. The angle here is that Andrew Balding newcomers at the track are just 1/45 (A/E 0.33), suggesting it is not his first port of call to introduce his better horses. Rebel Empire can make the most of his experience over the 5f trip but do keep a close eye on the market, as Capo Vaticano is part owned by Tony Bloom so any moves either way could be of greater significance than normal.

Hopefully Uttoxeter can beat the weather and provide some jumping action as there looks to be a couple of horses of interest, starting with HAWK STONE / (13:40 Uttoxeter). Harriet Dickin had a frustrating run of no less than 16 second places before saddling a winner on Easter Monday and then followed up with another a couple of days later. Hawk Stone was responsible for two of those second places, loves the mud and should go one better this time.

BLUE BEACH / (14:45 Uttoxeter) appreciated the return to hurdles last time and comes from a stable in Mel Rowley that have had an excellent season. She rallied well late on last time at Market Rasen and the booking of Harry Cobden (2/8 for yard, winners 5-1 and 9-2) also catches the eye as he seeks to wrap up his first Jockey’s Championship.

STABLE TRACKER HORSES

A rather annoyingly long losing streak was ended by Brioni (4-6f) in the week and she along with Paddy’s Courage and Al Rufaa, who were both beaten last weekend are released. There are no additions this week partly due to a few days away and also because of the ground conditions as it surely dries up at some stage.

One horse running on Saturday in HARRY DID / (13:30 Kempton), who was a big eyecatcher on debut before finding a decent newcomer Lion’s House too good at Newcastle. Lion’s House went on to follow up at Wolverhampton and even though a step back up in trip is likely when going handicapping, Harry Did has a chance in a race that has plenty of potential improvers in it.

JOCKEYS FOR COURSES

Our regular list of jockeys riding today at tracks where they have good career records in terms of Actual/Expected wins.

Kempton – Neil Callan 136/950, A/E 1.21. They include Ahlain in the 3.45 for James Tate for whom the rider is 47/215 A/E of 1.17

Uttoxeter – Stan Sheppard 20/135, A/E 1.52. Has just the one mount of Tilly Toughnut in the 2.45 for Henry Daly.

Chelmsford – Kevin Stott 36/138, A/E 1.39. Also just the one mount, Blue Lemons in the feature race at 3.30.

COLUMN PERFORMANCE 2024

The three individual strands and overall performance again expressed as Actual/Expected where Par = 1.00

Day Selections: 11/11.88, A/E 0.93
Stable Tracker: 6/6.35, A/E 0.94
Jockeys For Courses: 17/17.19, A/E 0.99
Overall: 34/35.42, A/E 0.96

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Richard Hoiles

Richard Hoiles

Richard is a horse racing broadcaster and commentator who has been involved in the sport since 1992.

Richard Hoiles

Richard Hoiles

Richard is a horse racing broadcaster and commentator who has been involved in the sport since 1992.