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Aintree Festival Day Two: Balder Success may upset the odds in Melling Chase

09 Apr | BY Betway | MIN READ TIME |
Aintree Festival Day Two: Balder Success may upset the odds in Melling Chase

Alan King's runner amongst great bets on day two of Aintree

The beginning of the Aintree Festival was a difficult day for punters but the top class offering on Friday gives the backers an opportunity to score a big victory over the layers.

Form boost gives Glingerburn favourite’s chance

The Grade 2 Novices’ Hurdle at 2.15 on Friday looks a good contest and it is highly likely that favourite Glingerburn will take all the beating.

On Thursday Bristol De Mai may not have won the Juvenile Hurdle but his close third in a competitive Grade 1 still gave a healthy form boost to Glingerburn, who beat Bristol De Mai by over 3 lengths at Kelso on his last start.

That effort maintained Glingerburn’s unbeaten hurdling career and this lightly raced 7yo is the one to beat on ground and a course that will really play to his strengths.

Jumping question marks make favourite a no bet in Mildmay

It’s hard to knock Mildmay Novices’ Chase favourite Saphir De Reu’s form but a return to fences in such a competitive race could be a bit of a shock to the system.

It speaks volumes about his ability that he has twice been sent off favourite against subsequent Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Coneygree but the fact that he’s fallen and unseated his rider in those races unfortunately speaks volumes about his inconsistency as a jumper of fences.

He’s short enough for a horse that has completed just the once over fences so has to be taken on here.

 

Paul Nicholls has an extremely strong hand in this race with Irish Saint also amongst the entries, the problem for his other runner might be the ground.

He’s shown his best form on softer surfaces and is also unproven over this trip.

 

That opens things up for either Irish Cavalier or Ainsi Fideles.

Slight preference is for the latter who posted a career best last time out on ground plenty soft enough and his stamina is guaranteed for this race.

The likelihood that he’ll bowl along in front is a plus round this sharp course and he may be David Pipe’s second winner of the race in 3 years.

Balder can be a Success back up in trip

The Melling Chase offers Champagne Fever at 11/4 an opportunity to make up for lost time having missed Cheltenham with a late knock.

He was well fancied for the Champion Chase and this extra half mile should see him in better light but he’s generally shown his best form at Cheltenham so may not be so effective here.

 

The form of Don Cossack’s (7/2) third in the Ryanair was done no favours by Ma Filleule on Thursday and he found that test sharp enough so isn’t guaranteed to be any better at a sharper track here.

 

That makes Balder Success a stand out bet in the race at 7/1. He was out of his comfort zone back down to 2 miles in the Champion Chase and Cheltenham has never really been his track.

Back at this trip if he can replicate his form this season over this sort of trip he should take all the beating. It’s a bonus that he was a good winner here on this sort of ground.  

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