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2000 Guineas: Gleaneagles won’t be below par in 2000 Guineas

01 May | BY Betway | MIN READ TIME |
2000 Guineas: Gleaneagles won’t be below par in 2000 Guineas

Aidan O'Brien can win yet another English Classic with promising colt

The first classic of the season is finally here and despite some uncertainty over the weather this week, it looks almost certain to be run on good to firm ground. The lack of rain is likely to rule out Andrew Balding’s Elm Park who is a 14/1 shot at the time of writing.

Whatever happens, it looks as though Gleneagles will start a warm favourite. Aidan O’Brien’s colt is a 5/2 chance and will have the assistance of Ryan Moore. He’s hardly unexposed but he was first past the post in two Group One’s last season and was only beaten on his racecourse debut. He’ll have no problems staying the trip and if nothing dramatically improves in this field from two to three then he should win.

The French last won this in 2010 with Makfi and Andre Fabre looks to have an exciting contender in the shape of Territories (6/1). He’s not far behind Gleneagles on last year’s form, but it’s possible he will want softer ground than the conditions at Newmarket provide here.

Only two other runners are currently priced under Only two other runners are currently priced under10/1 and those are 7/1 chance Ol Man River and 8/1 shot Estidhkaar. The former may only be Aidan O’Brien’s second string but he’s the only unbeaten colt in the race and is out of a filly that went close to completing a Guineas hat trick. It’s possible this Montjeu colt could find a mile on the sharp side though this season. Estidhkaar is yet to run over a mile but should relish the step up in trip having found the 7f of the Greenham slightly against him. He may not quite have the class of the favourite but like the favourite he’s a solid choice.

Intilaaq (11/1) falls into the category of ‘could be anything’ having just a maiden victory to his name. His odds are skinny enough considering what he’s achieved so it may be better watching him in this race with a view to a bet for the Derby. Also on 11/1 is Ivawood, a horse we know plenty about. He has plenty of class but could be more of a sprinter than a miler but the ground will definitely be in his favour.

If there is a horse that could outrun their odds at bigger prices it’s Richard Hannon’s 22/1 priced Moheet. He had a similar profile to Intilaaq having won a maiden by a wide margin and was sent off favourite for the Craven Stakes, over course and distance. His lack of experience and a slow gallop caught him out though and he could only finish third. That proved him close to this class after just two runs and with that extra run under his belt and a stronger pace guaranteed here he could run into the places.

The really proven horses in terms of class, going and also likelihood to be suited by this trip are Gleneagles and Estidhkaar. Slight preference is for the favourite with Estidhkaar and Moheet fancied to follow him home.