Zach Brunner provides his best NFL betting picks for Thursday Night Football, including four player props.
Visit Betway’s NFL picks page for picks and predictions throughout the season.
Lamar Jackson over 18.5 completions
Teams have dared Jackson to beat them with his arm this season, and although that seems like the smartest way to defend the Ravens, the quarterback has been making them pay.
He has 19 or more completions in four of his past five games. Miami has also allowed the fifth-most completions per game at 25.8.
Lamar Jackson over 229.5 passing yards
Jackson is throwing the ball plenty and is averaging 12.8 yards per completion. If we figure he competes exactly 19 passes, that extrapolates to 243.2 yards at his current rate.
The 2019 NFL MVP has passed for 230 or more yards in all but one game this season.
Durham Smythe over 9.5 receiving yards
Smythe isn’t an exciting name, but it’s a good bet. The tight end sees a bunch of snaps for the Dolphins.
Although he is mostly on the field to block, the 6ft 6in target has also been involved in the receiving game, with 20 or more yards in four of the past five weeks. With the Dolphins projected to be losing, look for a couple targets to go his way.
Salvon Ahmed over 13.5 rushing yards
The Dolphins’ rushing attack isn’t very good and they continue to spread the carries around. This works in the favor of Ahmed, who may be getting more touches than he deserves, but that doesn’t matter to us.
Ahmed has seven carries in three of the past four weeks, and totaled over 20 yards in each of those three games. Ahmed will continue to be involved on Thursday, and it could take just one nice carry for him to hit the over.