The racing broadcaster also analyses the Joel and Rockfel Stakes, highlights his jockeys to watch at various tracks and has another tip from Haydock.
A slightly different type of day at Newmarket on Friday, with all four of the races on ITV being Listed and Group races and the two most interesting horses on display not real betting propositions.
The headline act is undoubtedly the return of Maljoom in the 1m Group 2 Joel Stakes (Newmarket, 15:35). Like a few of the very best horses from the William Haggas yard, he didn’t see a racecourse until he was three but then made such rapid progress that he won a Classic – the German 2000 Guineas – on just his third career start.
His fourth saw him look a desperately unlucky loser in the Group 1 St James’s Palace Stakes at Ascot, getting no run at all up the rail, and we haven’t seen him since. A dirty scope and then a couple of setbacks means he will line up on Friday 472 days after he last saw a racecourse.
At his best, he would be far too good for his rivals here, but it is not going to be his main objective – likely to be the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes on Champions Day – which is always very dangerous for punters wishing to support him here.
Shuwari also comes into the Rockfel (Newmarket, 15:00) with a slight concern after a small issue caused her to miss a bit of work as well. She was added to our stable tracker after her debut win at Newbury and her subsequent victory at Sandown has been made to look a lot better after the subsequent efforts of the runner-up that day, Fallen Angel.
Ollie Sangster has made a terrific start to his training career and mentioned the slight hold up when he was a guest on Luck of Sunday. Just like Maljoom, at her best she would take plenty of beating, but there just has to be a slight question mark over her preparation.
FRIDAY NEWMARKET SELECTIONS
The best bets of the day therefore look to be away from the feature races starting with SILVER LADY 7/1 in the Listed Rosemary Stakes (Newmarket, 13:50). She is another returning from an absence but is by far the least exposed runner in the field having just her third career start.
She was one place behind Queen For You at York in May and her maiden win on the Rowley Mile on debut worked out particularly strongly. Provided she is not too fresh on her return (she was keen last time) then she can prove herself a cut above Listed level.
SEA THEME 11/2 can be the answer to another clash between the female generations in the Princess Royal Stakes (Newmarket, 14:25). She got caught slightly flat-footed at York last time but knuckled down really well to get up close to home. That was only her third career race and will have really aided her education for this first foray into Group company. She has a stout pedigree and is making up into a promising stayer.
Away from the main races, CRACK SHOT SP can follow up his Newbury victory, where he lowered the colours of one of our tracker horses Classic, in the last (Newmarket, 17:55). Stamina looked his strong suit there, finishing off strongly having been under pressure earlier than the runner-up. The step up to 9f could bring about even further improvement and keep him ahead of the handicapper.
FAR FROM THE MADDING CROWD
URBAN OUTLOOK should relish the likely testing conditions at Haydock (16:20) where Storm Agnes has left her mark on the ground. He showed a good attitude to win at Chester last time in a race where the three horses that have run out of it so far have form figures of 212. Maxident’s presence should mean the race is not run at a crawl and he can make it two from two on turf.
JOCKEYS FOR COURSES
Here’s our daily list of jockeys riding at tracks where they have a notably good record:
- Haydock – Callum Shepherd (12 winners from 50 runs with an actual/expected ratio of 2.36)
- Newcastle – Ben Robinson (59/524, 1.24 A/E)
- Newmarket – William Buick (181/936, 1.17 A/E)
- Worcester – Nick Schofield (18/122, 1.60 A/E)
SILVER LADY 7/1 (Newmarket, 13:50)
SEA THEME 11/2 (Newmarket, 14:25)
URBAN OUTLOOK SP (Haydock, 16:20)
CRACK SHOT SP (Newmarket, 17:55)