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Change of headgear could see Musaddas crowned in Clipper Logistics Handicap

19 Aug | BY Betway | MIN READ TIME |
Change of headgear could see Musaddas crowned in Clipper Logistics Handicap

With drying conditions pushing the going towards good, there are some great bets to be had at day two of York’s Ebor Festival on Thursday

After what is hopefully a drying day at York we could be getting close to good ground at the Knavesmire and that will be in favour of Musaddas in the mile handicap at 3.05.

He looked an unlucky loser last time out over course and distance, unable to get the good early position that would have suited his usual prominent racing style, and then finding a bit of trouble in running before claiming second.

His cheekpieces are replaced by a first-time visor which should sharpen him up and from stall three he should be able to get an ideal position.

He’s an extremely consistent horse filling the frame in 12 of his 15 starts making him an each way bet to nothing in this big field.

Before his unfortunate second place in his last run here he had won two races on the bounce – the mosr recent of which saw him finish in front of five subsequent winners.

You’re Fired was a place behind Musaddas last time out and should run well again, although there is no reason why he should reverse form with the selection.

Western Reserve is a highly progressive 3yo but his win last time out came on a day when prominent racers were favoured so a 10lb rise is stiff enough.

Tougher competition could come from Penitent who is on a tempting mark and is one of eight runners for David O’Meara, although the fact he feels that he needs so many runners suggests he doesn’t have one outstanding candidate.

Suffused won’t make punters suffer in Galtres Stakes

The listed Galtres Stakes at 4.20 is another tough contest with 16 runners set to compete over a mile-and-a-half and that trip could be the making of Suffused.

Progressive in handicap company early in the season, she was tried at this level last time out and finished a respectable second.

All of her runs this season have been on fast ground but, coming from the same family as Cloudscape (also trained by Roger Charlton), it seems highly likely that she’ll improve for a softer surface – especially as she won her debut on good to soft ground.

Her trainer also thinks that she’ll get this trip – her running style has suggested that she’ll be better for it – and the combination of easier ground and an extra couple of furlongs should see her go close here.

She’s only 4lbs behind the top rated in this race who both carry a penalty, and, being the top rated 3yo here she doesn’t really have to improve to figure anyway.

Trust is the key in Day Two closer

The closing handicap run at 4.55 for fillies over 7f looks a two-horse race between the lightly-raced pair Mistrusting and Spangled, despite a decent supporting cast.

Both are likely to prove much better than their current ratings of 99 and 96 respectively and the first bet to consider is a reverse forecast.

If both fillies give their running they should be too good for the rest of the field, and with 13 other runners that bet will still pay well.

In trying to decide between the two, the slight preference is for Mistrusting. She easily beat the useful Wordcraft last time out after a slight break and even carrying the penalty is still officially well in.

Interestingly, Wordcraft has been beaten by both horses carrying similar weights and on the bare form of those two runs Mistrusting also comes out on top, but only just.

Second place special: Betway will refund losing bets on selected races up to £25 if your horse finishes second and is beaten by less than a length. Terms and conditions apply.

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