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Chelsea to win or draw & over 2.5 goals

This has landed in four consecutive Chelsea away matches, with their last two in the league finishing 2-3 and 2-5.

Southampton’s three home matches this term have finished 1-2, 1-1 and 1-3.

Nathan Redmond to score

Only Danny Ings has scored more Southampton goals than Redmond this season.

The 25-year-old has had more shots per game than any other Saints player.

Mason Mount to score

Mount has scored three goals this season, including in both of Chelsea’s last two league away games.

He ranks second to Abraham for shots per game of Chelsea’s likely starters here.

Oriel Romeu to be carded

Romeu has been carded in two of Southampton’s three home matches this season, including against Liverpool.

The Spaniard ranks fifth for tackles and 15th for fouls in the Premier League.

Under 2.5 Chelsea cards

Chelsea haven’t picked up more than two cards in any game away from Stamford Bridge since their opening-day 4-0 defeat to Manchester United.

Neither Liverpool nor United passed this mark on their visits to St Mary’s this season.

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