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2019/20 Premier League tips: Best mid-season outright bets

08 Jan | BY Betway | MIN READ TIME |
2019/20 Premier League tips: Best mid-season outright bets

We pick out the best outrights for the remainder of the season, including how many points Liverpool will get, who will finish second and who will come bottom.

Liverpool to go unbeaten for the rest of the season {ODDS:518049868:6/1}

Clearly, there’s not much point in backing Liverpool to win the title at {ODDS:502555256:1/33}.

The Reds are 13 points clear of second-placed Leicester and have a game in hand on the rest of the league.

It would take a slip-up more catastrophic than we have ever seen for them not to win their first Premier League trophy.

Instead, there’s more value in backing them to remain unbeaten for the rest of the season.

They were only beaten once in the Premier League last term, losing 2-1 away to Manchester City, while their 2-0 victory over Sheffield United last week marked a calendar year since that defeat.

Liverpool’s current unbeaten run stands at 37 league games, while they have taken 58 points from an available 60 so far this season.

Although they still have to travel to the Etihad in the second half of the season, that is nothing like as worrying a prospect as it was a year ago.

Liverpool to get over 103.5 points {ODDS:520697994:11/4}

Even if Liverpool do slip up between now and the end of the season, they should still win the league in style.

Their current 37-game unbeaten run has yielded 101 points, while a win over out-of-form Tottenham on Saturday would them over the 103.5 threshold for that period.

During this season, they have taken 58 points from an available 60, working out at an average of 2.9 per game.

That they have managed that while contending with a tricky injury list – Alisson, Joel Matip, Dejan Lovren, Fabinho, Naby Keita, Xherdan Shaqiri and Mohamed Salah among others have all had spells out – proves they have the squad depth to prolong that run.

Spread over the course of a full campaign, their current points-per-game ratio will see them finish on 110.

Leicester to finish second {ODDS:520695479:11/2}

Liverpool’s ridiculous record this season means that, realistically, every other team is playing for second.

The Reds’ nearest challengers are Leicester, who are 13 points behind them and have played a game more.

That’s despite the Foxes being two points better off than they were at this stage in their 2015/16 title-winning campaign.

Following a run of 14 victories from their last 19 league games, Leicester are currently one point and one place above third-placed Manchester City.

Although Brendan Rodgers’ side suffered back-to-back defeats against City and Liverpool over Christmas, they are still the value bet to secure second place.

Crucially, they have already played Liverpool twice, losing both times, while Manchester City still have to host them in April.

City must also travel to Leicester, whose only home defeat this season came against the league leaders on Boxing Day, at the end of February.

Though even if they win that, it’s likely that they will drop further points at some stage this season given that they have already lost to Norwich, Wolves (twice) and Manchester United.

Wolves to finish in the top six {ODDS:418331971:5/2}

Wolves have defied the expectation that their Europa League campaign would curtail their domestic season.

They are currently seventh in the Premier League, level on points with sixth-placed Tottenham and look poised for a crack at the top six.

Nuno Santo’s side have continued to perform well against the Big Six, with a league double over Manchester City catching the eye.

But this prediction is as much about the lack of a challenge coming from elsewhere as it is Wolves.

Tottenham, for example, have won only five of their last 14 league games, while 10th-placed Arsenal have managed two victories in 13 and are three points behind Wolves.

It would be surprising, meanwhile, if respective eighth- and ninth-placed sides Sheffield United and Crystal Palace were able to maintain a top-six challenge.

Bournemouth to finish bottom {ODDS:418332115:11/1}

No side in the Premier League have picked up fewer than the four points Bournemouth have managed over the last 10 matches.

The Cherries were thumped 4-0 by out-of-form West Ham last time out and have also lost to Newcastle, Burnley and Brighton in that sequence.

In total, they have lost eight, drawn one and won one – a run that has seen them drop into the relegation zone.

They are just one point above Watford, who have won three of their last four in the league, and six ahead of bottom-of-the-league Norwich, both of whom they play in their next two matches.

Should they lose both of those, this price will plummet.

Marcus Rashford to win the Golden Boot {ODDS:443484104:16/1}

There’s little value in backing current leader Jamie Vardy at {ODDS:443484101:10/11}.

The Leicester forward is on 17, but a recent injury and run of one goal in his last four could be an indicator that his scoring rate is slowing.

Of the other contenders, Rashford is the standout by some distance.

The 22-year-old is five back from Vardy, but has netted 17 goals in all competitions for club and country since mid-October.

He shows no signs of slowing either, ranking second in the Premier League on shots per game (3.4) behind only Mohamed Salah.

That average is 0.8 more than both Vardy and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who has scored one more than Rashford, and 1.1 above Danny Ings, who is also on 13.

Rashford has also registered the best xG of any Premier League player this season, with Vardy third, Aubameyang ninth and Ings 12th.

Even as an each-way bet, Rashford is great value.

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