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With Thanksgiving celebrated across the United States on Thursday, the NBA loads up on games Wednesday night, catching the eyes of fans before the NFL takes over hours later.

A jam-packed slate, featuring some key matchups that could prove telling come playoff time, offers plenty of ways for bettors to find some value.

These four ATS picks stand out to me.

Golden State Warriors (-7.5) vs. Los Angeles Clippers 

In my picks last week, I pointed out the discrepancy between the Warriors playing at home and on the road. They won (and covered) Friday’s game against the Knicks before a little Southwest road trip. First, a win without covering against the struggling Rockets, followed by one of the worst losses of the Curry-era Warriors dynasty.

Steve Kerr chose to rest his starters on the second night of a scheduled back-to-back and the Pelicans took care of business, routing Golden State’s second unit 128-83. It’s the kind of loss that jumps off your screen, but in the long run, won’t do much to harm the Warriors other than skewing some stats in a funky way.

Now the Warriors head home, where they are 7-1 this season (5-3 ATS), with a rested starting five. The Clippers are without the ailing Paul George. Though LA has played better in recent weeks, I’m going to continue to treat the Warriors at home as a different team than when they play on the road.

Indiana Pacers (+1.5) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves 

The Pacers have been one of the bigger surprises early in the NBA season. Indiana was expected to toil in mediocrity, with half an eye on next year’s draft lottery and the chance to find a franchise-changing player.
It’s possible that they stumbled into two of those players already, with Tyrese Haliburton and rookie Bennedict Mathurin playing at least well enough to keep the Pacers afloat in the Eastern Conference.

Much of the pessimism surrounding Indy considered the idea that Myles Turner and Buddy Hield would be traded, to load the Pacers up on draft picks and shed salary. Both are still in Indiana and thriving.

With those four playing as well as they have, Indiana is absolutely a factor to chase a low-end playoff slot. I’ll jump on them as an underdog at home.

Boston Celtics (-4.5) vs. Dallas Mavericks 

The way the Celtics are playing, it’s tempting to bet them every time they play, especially at home at the Garden, where they’ve lost just once all season.

Boston comes off a blowout loss on the road in Chicago, which ended a 10-game winning streak for the Celtics. After losses this season, Boston has done a good job bouncing back, winning two of three.

The Celtics best five-man lineup (Tatum-Brown-White-Horford-Smart) has been one of the NBA’s best, ranking fifth in net rating among lineups with at least 100 minutes played together. That group thrives defensively, ranking third best in defensive rating, and should offer a tough test for MVP candidate Luka Doncic.

New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5) vs. San Antonio Spurs 

For a moment earlier this year, it looked like the Spurs could be another of the season’s surprises. Like the Pacers and the unbelievably feisty Jazz, the Spurs were outperforming their rock-bottom expectations early on.

More recently, the Spurs are the team we expected. San Antonio has lost nine of 10, including five in a row. The Spurs haven’t even been close to stealing a win over that stretch. In their last five games, the Spurs are averaging a 25-point margin of defeat.

With the death march towards the lottery next summer continuing, it’s hard to see how San Antonio corrects course, especially against a Pelicans team that is gelling better than ever.

Even on the road, it’s hard to see New Orleans tripping up Wednesday night.