Football Football
Horse Racing Horse Racing
Cricket Cricket
Basketball Basketball
Golf Golf

NBA betting tips: 4 picks and predictions for Friday 13 January 2023

13 Jan | BY Shane McNichol | MIN READ TIME |
NBA betting tips: 4 picks and predictions for Friday 13 January 2023

Shane McNichol makes his NBA predictions for Friday night with four best bets.

All the latest NBA odds can be found on the Betway sportsbook. Before finalising your online sports betting selections, make sure to check out our expert’s NBA picks and NBA predictions.

The All-Star break is quickly approaching, leaving the NBA’s biggest names and breakout stars eager to impress the fans, media, and their fellow players before the voting period closes.

Friday’s slate of games should provide quite the stage for some big performances and possibly some shocking results.

Here are my favorite picks tonight, starting with a potential upset:

San Antonio Spurs (+8.5) vs. Golden State Warriors {ODDS:1065637937:1.95}

I have used this space here at Betway Insider to preach about the Warriors’ massive difference in play at home and on the road time and time again this season. This has been my single most reliable pick week after week.

There’s no reason to stop going to the well if we’re going to continue to find success.

Golden State is 3-16 on the road this season straight up and barely better ATS at just 4-15. The Warriors have been even worse in the rare spot where they are favored on the road. In those games, Golden State is 1-7 against the spread.

This includes some games against the worst teams in the NBA. As 10-point favorites in Charlotte earlier this season, the Warriors lost by seven. As 7.5-point favorites in Detroit, Golden State lost by 14. The Warriors have also lost outright as favorites in Indiana, Sacramento, and Orlando.

This trend is not subject to regression to the mean. The Warriors are simply disappointing away from home. Take advantage while the lines refuse to admit that.

Sacramento Kings (-10) vs. Houston Rockets {ODDS:1065474791:1.95}

That’s a lot of points to lay, especially when you’re relying on the Sacramento Kings, who have played well this season but are far from a juggernaut. That line, however, is much more reflective of the Rockets and their dismal state of play in recent weeks.

Houston has lost eight in a row and 13 of its last 14 games. The Rockets have just one win since December 14.

Houston has been particularly gruesome away from home. Over the current eight-game skid, the Rockets have played four away games. They lost all four of those games by a margin higher than this line, averaging a 17.5-point loss in those four games.

The most recent of those losses came Wednesday night against the same Kings that Houston will face again Friday. The Kings won that game by 20 points, racking up 135 points. It’s hard to imagine the outcome being drastically different here. Don’t be afraid to lay the points against a team that seems to have little interest in competing this season.

Chicago Bulls (-4.5) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder {ODDS:1065473733:1.87}

At face value, this game looks like two teams struggling to reach the .500 mark, each reaching for the backend of the playoff race in their respective conferences.

In reality, this spot works out nicely for the Bulls. Oklahoma City is on an East Coast swing, with Friday marking the third game in four nights and the second night of a back-to-back. Generally, the schedule makers are able to make an East Coast road trip a little easier on teams, with one of the train or bus trips possible along the Washington-Philadelphia-New York corridor tossed into a road trip to make life easier.

That’s not the case for OKC, who lost in Miami Tuesday night, flew to Philadelphia for a game Thursday before flying to Chicago for the game Friday, then flying back to the coast for a date with Brooklyn.

That’s likely too much for the young Thunder to handle. Look back at their last lengthy trip, which started with two wins and ended with three straight losses (that slid into two more losses at home).

Lauri Markkanen (Utah Jazz) under 26.5 points vs. Orlando Magic {ODDS:1065628854:1.95}

It has been a breakout season that could see the Finnish forward in his first All-Star game, though I think this number is a little bit aggressive.

Markkanen is averaging two full points under this mark at 24.5. After a 49-point outburst last week, his last three games have seen Markkanen cool off and stay beneath the 30-point barrier.

Facing one of the longest frontcourts in the NBA, he may struggle to find his shot as easily as he’d like. Orlando has a handful of players to toss at Markkanen, including Wendell Carter, Bol Bol, Paolo Banchero, and even Franz Wagner.

I expect a dip in Markkanen’s production against that line of defenders, even in a Jazz win.

TAGS

Shane McNichol

Shane McNichol is a basketball writer who makes weekly NBA picks for the Betway Insider. 

Shane McNichol

Shane McNichol is a basketball writer who makes weekly NBA picks for the Betway Insider. 

STANDINGS