UFC 227 tips: Best bets for Dillashaw v Garbrandt 2
Our tipster gives his verdict on the main event in Los Angeles, plus two other fights from the main card.
TJ Dillashaw v Cody Garbrandt
Saturday night’s main event is a rematch of a cracking bantamweight title fight from UFC 217 in November, when Dillashaw knocked out his former Team Alpha Male team-mate to win back the belt.
Dillashaw was knocked down right at the end of the first round of the first fight, but he had made a good start and was able to read Garbrandt’s movement during the exchanges.
The 32-year-old shook off the knockdown and baited the then-champion into a compromising position in the second round, managing to land the big right hook to end the fight.
Garbrandt’s right hand is arguably the most dangerous punch in the division, but the 27-year-old is a one-dimensional fighter compared to the all-round excellence of Dillashaw.
The Californian is by far the superior wrestler of the pair, and his footwork is the best of any bantamweight not named Dominick Cruz.
Expect Dillashaw to be cautious early in this fight and to use a more varied approach, utilising his wrestling and boxing at range.
The champion should win the early rounds and then finish the fight inside the distance, as these two can’t seem to help themselves from going toe-to-toe.
Demetrious Johnson v Henry Cejudo
Flyweight champion Johnson has run out of viable opponents after 11 successful defences and is now facing fighters he’s already beaten.
Next up is Cejudo, who DJ knocked out in the first round at UFC 197 in 2016.
The 31-year-old is a great wrestler who is coming off impressive back-to-back wins over Wilson Reis and Sergio Pettis, but he has very little chance of winning this weekend.
Johnson is a far superior striker and grappler, and he’s had plenty of success in the past, beating Ian McCall, Joseph Benavidez and John Dodson at the second time of asking.
‘Mighty Mouse’ will almost certainly control this fight from the opening bell and secure his third successive submission victory.
Cub Swanson v Renato ‘Moicano’ Carneiro
Swanson has been cast as a gatekeeper here, as a win over him would likely push Carneiro into the top five of the featherweight rankings.
The Brazilian has a 12-1-1 professional record, losing only to current No. 1 Brian Ortega in what was a really close fight before Moicano made a mistake leading to a guillotine choke.
He bounced back from that defeat by comfortably outpointing Calvin Kattar in April, and he possesses the kind of all-round game that could make him a force in this weight class.
Swanson, meanwhile, is one of the most respected veterans in the division, with 15 fights in the UFC to date, but he’s lost his last two to Ortega and Frankie Edgar.
Swanson is an unorthodox striker, but he lacks the power to trouble Moicano, with no wins inside the distance since 2013.
Expect the more conventional Brazilian to walk Swanson down, soak up any damage and grind out the win by decision.
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