Alan Alger: My 4 To Win tips to bag £10k on Thursday
Our expert gives you the best possible chance of winning a massive midweek jackpot on today's ITV racing in our free-to-play prediction game.
4 To Win is Betway's free-to-play prediction game, with a £1,000 prize on offer every single day and an increased jackpot of £10,000 for all ITV meetings.
Simply guess the winner of four chosen races for your chance to claim the cash.
Here are Alan Alger's top tips to get you started...
We knew Wednesday would be tough, with the 25/1 rank outsider Anna Nerium in race one ending the majority of people's fun before the competition really got going.
But, another day means another opportunity to win big. Here are my best angles on landing the prize on Thursday...
TOP PICK: KARAGINSKY
Second choice: Military Band
We start with a 19-runner maiden race for three-year-olds that haven’t seen a racecourse before, so are really being made to work for the money again.
With no form angles to go on, it’s important to look at trainers, breeding and recent winners of the race to see if we can find a suitable selection.
The draw seems to play a huge part in recent runnings of this race, with eight of the last 10 winners - including the last seven in a row - being drawn in stall nine or higher.
With the Rowley Mile being a course where the draw bias is rather high, that’s hugely significant, so let's put a cross through all horses drawn in eight or lower.
The market also seems to play a big part, as it probably should, with insiders having seen far more of these horses than the bookmakers have.
Eight of the last 10 winners were no lower than fourth favourites in the betting, which leaves us with a two-horse shortlist consisting of a Godolphin pair.
I'll plump for KARAGINSKY, who has the first-choice silks and is from the Charlie Appleby stable, which is in superb form.
TOP PICK: MIDNIGHT TARGET
Second choice: Aunty Ann
From Flat racing’s HQ over to the home of National Hunt racing, we take in a seven-runner Listed mares’ handicap chase.
Clear favourite The Bay Birch would be an obvious selection as she seeks a hat-trick of wins. She seems to be ‘ahead of the handicapper’, which essentially means her weight and rating is probably way below the ceiling of her ability.
That said, we’ve only had two winning favourites of this race in the last decade, so something else unexposed in the field could provide a small shock.
MIDNIGHT TARGET drops back in trip to what seems her ideal distance, and also has the ground conditions to suit.
Her trainer and jockey aren’t in the winners’ enclosure often, but that may have inflated her price to a value one.
TOP PICK: SPIRIT OF VALOR
Second choice: Gordon Lord Byron
The Abernant is a decent Group 3 sprint over six furlongs.
Le Brivido and Brando are vying for favouritism this morning having come back from long breaks.
The former has some of the best form on offer but hasn’t been on the track for the best part of a year.
Gordon Lord Byron seems to have been underrated for each-way purposes, having been third here at 66/1 last October, but may not have the speed in his old age to get his head in front.
SPIRIT OF VALOR was also placed at 66/1 last season, a neck behind the aforementioned Le Brivido at Royal Ascot. That was over seven furlongs, so this drop back to six – he was caught near the line that day – could suit.
He looks a value call considering his connections.
TOP PICK: BRILLARE MOMENTO
Second choice: Oscar Rose
Back to Gloucestershire, and a competitive mares’ handicap hurdle to round the competition off.
Horses seven or younger and also those that are under 10/1 have a solid strike rate this decade, with those conforming to both of those trends accounting for all of the winners up to and including 2008.
Course-and-distance winner BRILLARE MOMENTO ticks all the boxes.
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