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Federico Santander (Bologna) to score v Chievo (14:00)
Santander has scored three goals in his last seven Serie A matches, and his underlying numbers suggest that more will follow.
The striker ranks 18th for xG in Serie A and rises to 10th for shots inside the penalty area, so is an incredible price to hit the net against the league’s worst defence.
Chievo have conceded a league-high 28 goals this season, with 10 of those coming in their last four home matches. Their xG against at home is the third-worst in the division.
Francois Kamano (Bordeaux) to score v Caen (14:00)
Kamano has scored five goals in his last nine Bordeaux appearances and looks an obvious bet to add to his tally on Sunday.
The striker ranks fourth for shots per game and ninth for xG in Ligue 1 this season and leads the line for a side that has scored at least once in eight of its nine home matches this term.
He has a wonderful chance to extend that run against Caen, who have conceded eight goals in their last four away matches.
Alvaro Morata (Chelsea) to score v Everton (14:15)
After a few teething problems, Morata appears to have hit top gear at Chelsea.
The Spaniard has scored four goals in his last four Premier League matches and ranks third for xG per minute of all players to have played over 500 minutes of football this season.
With Eden Hazard back in the team, creating chances for Morata should not be problem against Everton, who have conceded twice at Arsenal and Manchester United already.
Sebastien Haller (Frankfurt) to score v Schalke (17:00)
Having scored in five consecutive matches, it has to be worth taking advantage of the fact that Haller is not even the favourite to score for Frankfurt in this match.
The Frenchman may not be as highly rated as Luka Jovic in terms of price, but he is outperforming his strike partner in other metrics. On top of that run of goals, the 24-year-old ranks fourth in the Bundesliga for xG and is an established penalty-taker.
His side have scored 17 goals in their last four home games, so chances are bound to come along on Sunday despite Schalke’s decent defensive record.
*Odds subject to change.
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