Adam Drury provides his football tips from Sunday's action in the Premier League and across Europe.


BTTS & over 2.5 goals in Mechelen v Beerschot Wilrijk (12:30)

This bet has landed in all of Mechelen’s last five matches, including a 3-3 draw in their last home matches against Charleroi.

They take on Beerschot, whose last nine matches would have seen this bet return as a winner.

Those results include, in chronological order, a 5-2, 6-3, 3-2, 4-2 and 5-5.

Over 2.5 goals in Southampton v Manchester United (14:00)

Southampton have scored twice in all four of their Premier League home games this season, including a 5-2 battering from Tottenham in September.

They host Manchester United, whose seven away games in all competitions have all featured at least three goals.

United have scored at least twice themselves in six of those games, and scored at least three goals in five of them.

Bayer Leverkusen to win or draw & over 2.5 goals v Hertha Berlin (14:30)

This bet would have landed in seven of Leverkusen’s last eight matches, including in all of their last four at home.

Peter Bosz’s side have won 2-1 and 4-1 inside the last week.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in all five of Hertha’s away games this season, with their only victories coming at Werder Bremen and Augsburg – both inferior sides to Leverkusen. They lost 5-2 at home to Dortmund last weekend.

Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim) to score v Mainz (17:00)

Kramaric basically scores whenever he plays.

The Croatian forward has netted in all six of his appearances for Hoffenheim this season, including two braces and a hat-trick.

He takes a remarkable 5.8 shots per Bundesliga match, the joint-highest tally in Europe’s top five leagues, alongside Zlatan Ibrahimovic.

Wolves to win or draw & under 4.5 goals v Arsenal (19:15)

Arsenal’s Premier League home form has been poor this season, scraping victories against West Ham and Sheffield United and losing to Leicester and Aston Villa.

Their home xG tally is the fourth-worst, their shots per home game tally is the fifth-worst and their home xPoints tally is the sixth-worst in the division, so we can’t expect much of an improvement here.

This game has finished 1-1 in both seasons since Wolves’ promotion in 2018.


*Odds subject to change.

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