Adam Drury provides his football tips from Sunday's action across Europe.


Ajax to beat Vitesse & under 4.5 goals (13:30)

Ajax have won 11 of their last 15 away matches, including four of the last five.

Under 4.5 goals has landed in all but one of those 15 games.

Vitesse have lost four of their last five matches, all of which produced under 4.5 goals.

Leicester to beat Watford to nil (14:00)

Watford haven’t scored in either of their last two matches, mustering up a combined xG tally of 0.49 across both games.

With Ismaila Sarr, Emmanuel Dennis, Josh King and Cucho Hernandez all likely to be unavailable, their attacking threat will be negligible once again.

Leicester saw off Norwich 3-0 on Sunday and the form of Jamie Vardy and James Maddison can see them claim another three points here.

BTTS & over 2.5 goals in Napoli v Genoa (14:00)

This bet has landed in six of Napoli’s last nine home matches, including 5-2, 4-2, 3-2 and 6-1 scorelines.

Genoa have opened up in the last couple of weeks, most recently posting an xG tally of 3.11 in a 2-1 win against Juventus.

The reverse fixture between these sides finished 2-1 in September.

Atletico Madrid to beat Sevilla (17:30)

Atletico have won back-to-back matches, including a 1-0 win over La Liga champions Real Madrid last weekend.

That victory made it five wins in six league home matches for Diego Simeone’s side, who can secure Champions League qualification with victory here.

Sevilla have won just one of their last 11 away games.

Inter to beat Cagliari & under 4.5 goals (19:45)

Inter have won seven of their last nine games, with one of the exceptions the Coppa Italia final that they went on to win in extra time against Juventus on Wednesday.

That run includes three away wins in four league away matches.

Cagliari have lost seven of their last nine matches, including four defeats in five at home.


*Odds subject to change.

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