Will Rook and Adam Drury provide their football tips for Saturday’s matches.
WIN/DRAW/WIN
Middlesbrough to beat Cardiff (12:30)
Middlesbrough are a huge price to win this given Cardiff’s current woes.
The Bluebirds have lost seven matches in a row in all competitions, and nine of their last 10.
Middlesbrough’s 2-0 victory over Barnsley in midweek was their third in four matches.
Luton to beat Hull (15:00)
Hull’s 2-1 defeat to fellow strugglers Peterborough in midweek left them third-bottom of the Championship with nine points.
The Tigers have lost five and won just one of their last seven matches.
Play-off chasing Luton have taken eight points from their last four matches, while their only defeat in nine came against table-toppers Bournemouth last month.
Plymouth to beat Morecambe (15:00)
Plymouth are a point clear at the top of League One.
Ryan Lowe’s side beat Bolton 3-0 in midweek to extend their unbeaten run to 13 matches, while they have won three on the spin.
Morecambe slipped to 18th in the table following a third consecutive defeat on Tuesday.
Crawley to beat Scunthorpe (15:00)
Bottom-of-the-league Scunthorpe are on eight points after 13 matches.
The Iron have won just once during that period and have lost seven of their last nine.
Crawley aren’t in the best form themselves but, having won four of their last eight, have shown enough to be able to trust them here.
AC Milan to beat Bologna (19:45)
AC Milan are second in Serie A and have dropped just two points so far this season.
That draw came away to Juventus last month and they have won four on the spin since.
Bologna have won one of their last five and were thumped 6-1 by Inter last month.
GOALS
Under 2.5 goals in Everton v Watford (15:00)
All of Everton’s last three Premier League games have featured under 2.5 goals, including at home to Norwich and West Ham.
With Abdoulaye Doucoure joining Dominic Calvert-Lewin on the sidelines, and Richarlison still a doubt, the Toffees’ threat is unlikely to improve much here.
They host Watford, who have failed to score in five of their last seven league matches.
Bayern Munich to beat Hoffenheim & BTTS (14:30)
BTTS has landed in six of Bayern’s eight league games this season.
Julian Nagelsmann’s side have also won six of those eight matches, so merging the two seems a good bet here.
Hoffenheim have scored nine goals in their last three games and have already lost 3-2 at Dortmund this season. This bet has landed in three of the last four league meetings between these sides in Munich.
MYTHBUSTER
Swansea draw no bet v Birmingham (15:00)
Swansea are one of the in-form teams in the Championship, winning three, drawing one and only losing away at Fulham in their last five games.
That run includes two impressive victories in the last week, 3-0 against local rivals Cardiff and 2-1 against promotion-hunting West Brom.
Birmingham have drawn two and lost five of their last seven games, so a risk-free draw no bet gamble on the visitors makes sense.
ANYTIME GOALSCORER
Conor Gallagher (Crystal Palace) to score v Newcastle (15:00)
Gallagher has scored twice this season, but that tally should quickly increase.
The midfielder ranks 11th in the Premier League for xG, the highest of any non-forward, and also sits 15th for shots per game. He has had seven attempts on goal in his last two outings.
Newcastle may have removed Steve Bruce as Head Coach, but not much is likely to change in three days. They rank bottom for goals conceded and xG against in the division.
Harry Cornick (Luton) to score v Hull (15:00)
Cornick has scored six goals this season, including four in his last four.
He is playing upfront for a side that has scored 16 goals in their last eight games and is regularly finding himself in good positions in front of goal.
Hull have conceded twice in all of their last three away games.
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