Sheffield Wednesday to beat Derby (12:30)

Fourth-bottom Derby lost their sixth straight game away to Swansea last weekend, making this match a relegation shoot-out.

The Rams are two points above third-bottom and three above Wednesday with a worse goal difference and, having managed one victory in 14, it’s hard to be hopeful for them.

Sheffield Wednesday aren’t in the best form themselves, but have at least only lost once in their last four. At this price, they’re worth siding with in a game they need to win.

Bayer Leverkusen to beat Werder Bremen (14:30)

Werder Bremen are the only side in the Bundesliga who have failed to earn a single point from any of their last seven matches.

That run of form has seen them plunge to within just goal difference of the relegation play-off spot, while they are only a point ahead of second-bottom Cologne.

Leverkusen have won three of their last five and look decent value for another three points here.

Bolton to beat Crawley (15:00)

Bolton conceded a stoppage-time goal to lose to Exeter last weekend and miss the chance to secure promotion, but should seal their immediate return to League One this time.

Wanderers have won four of their last six and three points will guarantee promotion, with fourth-place Morecambe just a point behind.

Crawley are winless in three and have nothing to play for.

Newport to beat Southend (15:00)

Southend’s relegation to the National League was confirmed despite a victory over Barrow last weekend, so it’s difficult to be positive about them here.

The Shrimpers have the worst home record in League Two and have won one of their last 11 matches.

Newport will secure a play-off spot with a point but, having won three of their last four, they will likely get all three.

Manchester City to beat Chelsea (17:30)

Manchester City have won 33 of their last 36 matches in all competitions and come into this on the back of a 2-0 victory over PSG in the Champions League semi-final.

City won the reverse fixture 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in January and, despite having lost to Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final last month, look in great shape.

Thomas Tuchel’s side are also in decent form but, with the hosts at close to evens, there is little choice as to who to side with.


BTTS: No in Sheffield United v Crystal Palace (15:00)

BTTS has landed in one of Sheffield United’s last 13 matches – a 2-1 defeat at Leeds in which they scored with their only shot on target.

The Blades have scored 10 goals in 18 league matches in 2021, with opponents Crystal Palace managing 14 in 17.

Roy Hodgson’s visitors rank comfortably bottom for xG in this calendar year and have taken the fewest shots in the division across the season.

Carlisle v Walsall (15:00)

It’s worth banking on two teams with nothing to play for producing an entertaining final-day shoot-out here.

Carlisle have scored and conceded in all of their last three matches, winning 3-2 at Leyton Orient last time out.

Walsall have scored in five of their last seven away games and rank third for BTTS ratio in League Two.

Oldham v Forest Green (15:00)

After last week’s 4-1 defeat to Mansfield, Oldham have still both scored and conceded the most goals in League Two this season.

BTTS has landed in 69 per cent of the Latics’ games this season, including in seven of their last nine.

Forest Green rank sixth for BTTS ratio in League Two and rank fifth for shots per away game.


Adam Armstrong (Blackburn) to score v Birmingham (12:30)

Armstrong has scored 26 goals this season and is ending the campaign strongly.

The forward scored a hat-trick in Blackburn’s last home game against Rotherham and also netted last time out against Rotherham.

He ranks well clear for shots per game in the Championship and takes on a Birmingham defence that shipped four against Cardiff last week.

Kevin De Bruyne (Man City) to score v Chelsea (17:30)

Chelsea are excellent defensively, but De Bruyne cannot be ignored at a price as big as this one.

The Belgian is playing as a centre-forward for Man City and has scored seven goals in his last 12 games for club and country.

He ranks second in the Premier League for shots per game and has scored in his last three league games against the Blues.

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