Will Rook provides his football tips from Saturday's action across Europe.

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Manchester City to beat Wolves & over 2.5 goals (12:30)

In both of the two games that they’ve failed to win this season, Manchester City have won the xG battle by over 1.4 goals.

This bet has been a winner in three of their four victories, and those underlying numbers suggest it is a matter of time until they cut loose away from home.

Pep Guardiola’s side won 5-1 on this ground at the end of last season. A similar result is likely against a side that has the speed and skill on the counter-attack to score themselves.

Draw & BTTS in Stuttgart v Frankfurt (14:30)

This bet has landed in four of Stuttgart’s six Bundesliga matches this season.

Pellegrino Mararazzo’s side have drawn five of their six league games, while they were only beaten 1-0 at home to Freiburg last month.

BTTS has been a winner in four of Frankfurt’s six league games and they have drawn two of their last five.

Werder Bremen to win or draw v Leverkusen (14:30)

Werder Bremen have had a mixed start to the season with two wins, two draws and two defeats.

Both of those defeats came by a single goal against Frankfurt and Augsburg, indicating that they weren’t far off taking something from either.

Leverkusen are second-bottom of the Bundesliga with four defeats and a draw from six.

Newcastle to beat Bournemouth & Alexander Isak to score (15:00)

Newcastle battered Crystal Palace last time out, including having a goal wrongly ruled out, but could only draw 0-0.

Expect Eddie Howe’s side to make up for that here against a side that has been defensively frail all season.

Isak has had five shots in two Newcastle appearances, scoring against Liverpool and racking up an xG of 1.14 in that Palace game.

Racing Strasbourg draw no bet v Montpellier (16:00)

Strasbourg have drawn five of their seven matches so far, with their underlying numbers suggest that they have been closer to winning more often than losing.

Saturday’s visitors rank sixth in Ligue 1, with their xPoints tally of over 11 suggesting that they should have at least six more points on the board from their first seven games, the biggest disparity from reality in Ligue 1.

Montpellier rank down in 15th for the same metric and have lost both of their last two games.

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*Odds subject to change.

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