Will Rook and Adam Drury provide their football tips for Saturday’s matches in the FA Cup, EFL, Bundesliga and Serie A.
WIN/DRAW/WIN
Union Berlin to beat Augsburg (14:30)
Sixth-placed Union Berlin were beaten 1-0 at RB Leipzig on Wednesday, but that was their first league defeat in seven.
Urs Fischer’s side took seven points from matches against Leverkusen, Dortmund and Bayern Munich in that sequence and have won three of their last five.
Augsburg have lost five of their last six matches in all competitions, with four of those defeats coming at home.
Norwich to beat Barnsley (15:00)
Championship leaders Norwich have won nine and drawn one of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
The Canaries beat Barnsley 1-0 at home earlier in January and overcame Championship opposition in the FA Cup third round in Coventry.
Barnsley have lost three of their last four matches, with their only victory in that period coming against League Two Tranmere in the previous round of the cup.
Crewe to beat AFC Wimbledon (15:00)
Fourth-bottom AFC Wimbledon have picked up just one point in their last eight league games – fewer than any other side in League One.
Glyn Hodges’ side are the only team in the division not to win a match during that period and were thumped 4-0 by Portsmouth on Tuesday night.
Crewe are unbeaten in their last 10 in all competitions and have won five of their last six at home.
Peterborough to beat Ipswich (15:00)
Peterborough made it three wins on the spin in midweek as they came from behind to beat fellow play-off hopefuls Charlton.
Darren Ferguson’s side are unbeaten in their last seven in all competitions and are a great price to take advantage of their hosts’ poor home form.
Ipswich have lost four of their last five matches at Portman Road, with their only victory in that sequence coming against bottom-of-the-league Burton.
Aston Villa to beat Newcastle (20:00)
This isn’t a groundbreaking tip, but it’s one that should land without much trouble.
Newcastle lost 3-0 at Arsenal on Monday night and have picked up just two points in their last seven league games, neither of which came on the road.
Aston Villa put in a spirited performance in their 2-0 defeat against Manchester City in midweek and had gone five unbeaten prior to defeats against City and Manchester United.
BTTS
Crewe v AFC Wimbledon (15:00)
BTTS has landed in all of Crewe’s last nine matches.
Two of their last three games have finished 3-3 and 3-2, while they have scored at least twice in six of their last seven home matches.
AFC Wimbledon have lost to nil against Sunderland and Portsmouth in their last two, but BTTS had landed in seven of their previous eight.
Wigan v Fleetwood (15:00)
Wigan have scored and conceded in five of their last six matches.
Three of those games have finished 4-3, 4-3 and 3-3, while the only exception was a 5-0 defeat to Rochdale.
Fleetwood’s last three away games have finished 1-1, 3-2 and 3-1.
Southend v Mansfield (15:00)
Mansfield’s last three away games have finished 3-2, 2-1 and 3-2.
The Stags have seen BTTS land in seven of their last nine matches overall, scoring 13 goals in their last five.
Southend have scored in five straight home games so can do their bit.
MYTHBUSTER
Milan to win or draw v Atalanta & over 1.5 goals (17:00)
Milan have only been beaten at home by Juventus in Serie A this season, winning five and drawing three of their other eight games.
Stefano Pioli’s side rank second for xPoints at home, while every one of those eight games has featured over 1.5 goals.
Atalanta have only won one of their last four away matches, with over 1.5 goals landing in all of them.
ANYTIME GOALSCORER
Johnson Clarke-Harris (Peterborough) to score v Ipswich
Clarke-Harris has scored in six of his last nine matches, including a hat-trick against Rochdale last month.
The striker ranks fourth for shots per game in League One and takes on a defence in terrible form.
Ipswich have conceded 15 goals in their last seven home games, shipping three goals on three different occasions.
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