Will Rook and Adam Drury provide their football tips for Saturday’s matches in the EFL and Bundesliga.
WIN/DRAW/WIN
Middlesbrough to beat Birmingham (12:30)
No side in the Championship has taken fewer points than Birmingham over the last six matches.
Aitor Karanka’s side have lost five and drawn once in that period and haven’t scored in their last four in all competitions.
Middlesbrough have won four of their last five league games and four on the bounce at the Riverside.
Norwich to beat Cardiff (15:00)
Norwich are currently four points clear at the top of the Championship following a run of six victories in their last eight.
The Canaries have won seven and drawn one of their 11 away games in the league this season and have the Championship’s best travelling record.
Cardiff have lost four straight matches, including a 2-0 defeat at Norwich less than a month ago.
Oxford to beat Northampton (15:00)
Oxford are unbeaten in all competitions since a derby defeat to Swindon nine games ago.
Karl Robinson’s side have won five matches on the spin as part of that run, including back-to-back away games against struggling Burton and Plymouth.
Relegation-threatened Northampton have lost four of their last six matches, failing to score on four occasions during that sequence.
Bristol Rovers to beat Charlton (15:00)
Bristol Rovers look a big price here, given that they have won three of their last four league games.
That run includes back-to-back victories at the Memorial Stadium, where they host out-of-form Charlton this weekend.
The Addicks blew a two-goal lead at home to fifth-bottom Rochdale in midweek and are without a win in five.
Southend to beat Grimsby (15:00)
Bottom-of-the-league Southend have finally got their season going after a dreadful start, and have a great opportunity to lift themselves off the foot of the table here.
The Shrimpers have won four and drawn one of their last six league games – including a 3-1 win over Grimsby last month – despite having managed just one victory all season prior to that run.
Second-bottom Grimsby, who are one point above Southend are in all kinds of trouble. The Mariners have taken one point from their last five games and played two games more than their visitors.
BTTS
Cardiff v Norwich (15:00)
Cardiff’s last two home matches have finished 3-2, most recently in defeat to promotion candidates Brentford.
The Bluebirds have scored three goals in four of their last seven home games, and take on a Norwich side that have conceded more shots per game than all bar six Championship teams on the road this season.
Norwich have arguably the best attack in the division, though, having scored in 12 of their last 13 outings.
Peterborough v MK Dons (15:00)
Peterborough have scored in 13 straight home matches, including 4-1 and 5-1 victories in their last two at London Road.
Though neither of those victories came in the league, BTTS has landed in six of their eight League One matches at home this season.
MK Dons are developing into a fantastic team under Russell Martin and have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches in all competitions, including at Burnley last weekend.
Rochdale v Wigan (15:00)
Rochdale’s last three matches have finished 4-1, 3-3 and 4-4.
At least one team has scored four goals in four of Dale’s last five matches, including when they hammered Wigan 5-0 in the reverse fixture last month.
BTTS has landed in four of the Latics’ last five games, with that thumping defeat the only exception.
ANYTIME GOALSCORERS
Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim) to score v Arminia Bielefeld
Kramaric has scored 14 goals in 20 appearances this season, including five in his seven home games.
The forward ranks third to Robert Lewandowski and Erling Haaland for shots per game and has posted an xG per 90 minutes of 0.71 this season.
Arminia Bielefeld had conceded at least twice in four consecutive away games before keeping a clean sheet at then-bottom Schalke last time out.
Stephen Humphrys (Rochdale) to score v Wigan (15:00)
Humphrys has scored five goals in 12 appearances this season, and is the most shot-friendly player in a very attacking team.
The forward scored in Rochdale’s 4-4 draw at Charlton on Tuesday, while no player has taken more shots per game in the entire division this season.
Wigan have conceded 13 goals in their last five games, including a 5-0 defeat to this opponent last month.
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