WIN/DRAW/WIN
Luton to beat Reading (15:00)
Bottom-of-the-league Luton extended their unbeaten run to six league matches following a creditable 1-1 draw away to Leeds on Tuesday.
Under Nathan Jones, who has been in charge after returning for the restart, the Hatters have narrowed the gap to safety to two points.
Reading come into this having lost back-to-back matches and are without a win since the season’s resumption.
Barnsley to beat Stoke (15:00)
This feels like a generous price against an out-of-form side that have played their way into trouble since the restart.
Stoke have picked up one point in their last three games and followed a 2-0 defeat against fellow strugglers Middlesbrough last weekend with a 3-0 thumping at Wigan on Tuesday. Those defeats have left them one point above the bottom three.
Second-bottom Barnsley beat Blackburn 2-0 in midweek and have taken seven points from their last three games, keeping clean sheets in each of them.
Wolves to beat Arsenal (17:30)
Arsenal come into this on the back of three straight victories in all competitions, but I still don’t fancy them here.
The Gunners have managed three victories in 16 on the road this season and lost back-to-back games at Manchester City and Brighton last month.
Wolves have won three games out of three since the restart and are level on points with fifth-placed Manchester United.
Sassuolo to beat Lecce & over 2.5 goals (18:30)
Third-bottom Lecce lost 2-1 at home to Sampdoria on Wednesday – their fifth-straight defeat in Serie A.
The strugglers have conceded four goals on three separate occasions in that sequence, while they even shipped seven at home to Atalanta in March.
Sassuolo won 3-1 at Fiorentina last time out to make it three games without defeat. Six of their last seven matches, meanwhile, have had three or more goals.
Lazio to beat AC Milan (20:45)
AC Milan needed an own goal in the last minute of stoppage time to snatch a 2-2 draw against second-bottom SPAL on Wednesday.
The Rossoneri have won three of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Second-placed Lazio have won six of their last seven, with their only defeat in that sequence coming against in-form Atalanta.
BTTS
Portimonense v Guimaraes (19:15)
BTTS has landed in three of Portimonense’s last four matches, with their last two home games finishing 2-2 and 3-2.
They take on Vitoria Guimaraes, who have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
The visitors had scored and conceded in five consecutive matches prior to Tuesday’s 2-0 win over Vitoria Setubal.
Chelsea v Watford (20:00)
BTTS has landed in both of Chelsea’s matches against bottom-five teams since the restart, a 2-1 win at Aston Villa and Wednesday’s 3-2 defeat at West Ham.
The Blues look particularly poor when defending set-pieces, conceding 12 goals from them in total this season. Watford’s only goal since the restart came from a corner and they have looked threatening from set-pieces in subsequent matches, too.
Frank Lampard’s side should score at least once against a defence that has only managed away clean sheets at Norwich and Bournemouth this season.
MYTHBUSTER
Granada to win or draw v Valencia & under 3.5 goals (21:00)
Granada have avoided defeat in nine of their last 11 matches, with under 3.5 goals landing in all but one of them.
The hosts have beaten Barcelona 2-0 and drawn 1-1 with Atletico Madrid at home this season.
Managerless Valencia are suffering yet another crisis. They have drawn one and lost seven of their last eight away games and haven’t scored in any of their last three matches overall.
ANYTIME GOALSCORERS
Neal Maupay (Brighton) to score v Norwich (12:30)
Maupay should return to the Brighton team after being rested for their defeat by Manchester United on Tuesday.
The Frenchman has scored nine goals this season, but could have had several more. He ranks joint-10th in the Premier League for shots per game and is 14th for xG.
Norwich have lost six of their last seven Premier League games, conceding at least three goals on three occasions.
Karlan Grant (Huddersfield) to score v Preston (15:00)
This looks a big price for a striker who has scored 18 goals this season, including one in each of his last two matches.
Both of those goals were penalties but Grant is a threat from open play, too, ranking seventh in the Championship for shots per game this season.
Preston are on a horrible run, conceding 12 goals in their last six games.
Visit Betway’s football betting page.
