What are the chances of the Buffalo Bills winning the Super Bowl? After a strong start to the season led by quarterback Josh Allen, learn the betting odds for the Bills to win the Super Bowl in 2027.
After a strong start to the season so far, the Buffalo Bills are one of the most popular Super Bowl picks as things stand, with the NFL odds placing them as one of the favourites to go on and lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy. But can the Buffalo Bills win the Super Bowl this year?
Here we reveal their Super Bowl odds and chances of winning the biggest game of the NFL season, so read on to discover the Bills’ chances to win the Super Bowl.
What are the Bills’ odds to win the Super Bowl?
According to the NFL odds, the Bills are the current Super Bowl favourites at the time of writing with odds of +550, just ahead of the San Francisco 49ers as the team most likely to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
Having had a positive start to the season under head coach Joe Brady, they’ll be looking to extend their current winning streak, take command of the AFC East division and boost their Super Bowl chances. With players such as star quarterback and MVP favourite Josh Allen on their roster, the Buffalo Bills have a big opportunity to win their first ever Super Bowl.
AFC East division winner
Looking more specifically, the Bills are -460 favourites to win the AFC East division as things stand, with it being expected that they’ll finish ahead of the New England Patriots, New York Jets, and Miami Dolphins.
The current holders, the Patriots, will require a strong second half of the season in order to extend their record as the team with the most AFC East titles, which sits at 23. However, the Bills look like they’ll close the gap and add another to their present tally of 15.
AFC Championship winner
As things stand, the Bills are +260 favourites to win the AFC Championship, with the Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs being their closest competitors.
Though the New England Patriots are the holders after going to the Super Bowl last year, the Bills are expected to take the title for themselves this season at the time of writing. But, since the Chiefs won three in a row prior to last season and look to be having a bounce back season behind quarterback Patrick Mahomes, they could provide strong competition as they aim to reclaim the title for themselves.
The Bills are also favourites to reach the playoffs given their strong position in the AFC at present.
To win the Super Bowl
As we mentioned before, the Buffalo Bills are among the top contenders to reach the Super Bowl in 2027 and are one of the teams considered most likely to take home the Vince Lombardi Trophy. The NFL is a quarterback-driven league, and with Josh Allen performing at an MVP level throughout the season so far, it is looking increasingly likely that the Bills will again be competing deep into January.
Despite having never won the Super Bowl before, the Buffalo Bills are looking like a force to be reckoned with so far. If they can keep up their early season form, then they’re in with a strong chance to win at the end of this campaign, breaking their run of four Super Bowl appearances without a victory.
Can the Buffalo Bills win the Super Bowl this year?
Aside from the NFL odds, there are a few things that indicate the Bills could finally win the Super Bowl this year.
With star quarterback Josh Allen under centre and a solid roster overall, the Bills have certainly got the necessary tools to get the job done, considering that he’s one of the current NFL MVP favourites. Allen’s combined passing and rushing prowess makes him one of the hardest players in the NFL to stop, and he has powered the Bills’ rise to the top of the standings in the AFC this season so far.
Life under their new head coach Joe Brady has also been extremely positive, with the team now reaping the rewards of his promotion from offensive coordinator at the start of 2026. Brady may be the youngest active head coach in the NFL, but he has got his team up and running this season, putting them in a great position to win the franchise’s first Super Bowl.
The Buffalo Bills have also racked up some impressive wins as well, with their 37-34 victory at the Los Angeles Rams being their statement performance so far. After losing 29-26 to the Patriots, they bounced back with an overtime victory against the Rams, handling the high pressure situation and earning the win late on.
Combining strong form under their new coach, the elite quarterback play of Josh Allen and some standout performances already, the Bills have absolutely given themselves a case to win the Super Bowl after years of contending and falling just short.
Who are the Bills’ likeliest competitors on the way to the Super Bowl?
Though the Bills are among the favourites to win the Super Bowl, the NFL betting odds suggest that they’ll face competition from some of the other top teams.
One of their biggest competitors will no doubt be the San Francisco 49ers, who lead the NFC West division as things stand. Having also had a strong start to the season, the 49ers are one of the NFL’s most complete teams and have had proven experience in the playoffs during recent years. With quarterback Brock Purdy playing the best football of his career so far, a deep roster and plenty of talent across the team such as Christian McCaffrey and Trent Williams, they can challenge any team this season.
Other leading contenders for the Super Bowl at the time of writing include the Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars. The Bears currently sit second in the NFC North – though, with division leaders the Vikings lining up against the Bills and 49ers in the coming weeks, their time at the top will be put to the test, and the Bears will hope to contend. Meanwhile, the Jags comfortably lead the AFC South.
Another of the strong contenders for the Super Bowl is the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite not currently being outright favourites, the Chiefs are one of the teams with the most championship experience and have often been considered as the benchmark for the AFC in recent years. With the knowledge of navigating deep runs into the playoffs behind quarterback Patrick Mahomes, they will have an advantage over some of the other challengers in the 2026 season.
Finally, the last of the strong contenders are NFC West pair, the Seattle Seahawks and LA Rams. The Seahawks are the current holders of the Super Bowl after beating the New England Patriots 29-13 last season, so, they have already proven that they can go all the way. Though they sit behind the 49ers in the NFC West division, they have still had a decent start to the season and if they can return to their best, they’ll be one of the toughest teams to face this campaign.
Meanwhile, the Rams place third in the division after being considered the Super Bowl favourites before the season began. Rams fans will be disappointed with their season so far, but there’s no doubt they have one of the strongest rosters in the NFL on both sides of the ball, an elite head coach in Sean McVay, and a Super Bowl winning quarterback in Matthew Stafford.
What upcoming games will impact the Bills’ odds to win the Super Bowl the most?
Though the Bills are one of the leading favorites to win the Super Bowl, there are a few upcoming games which could impact their chances of lifting the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
In Week 9 of the NFL schedule, the Buffalo Bills travel to face the Minnesota Vikings. Despite the Vikings being considered outsiders to win the Super Bowl, they have made a strong start to the season, leading the NFC North behind arguably the best defence in football. Week 9 promises a heavyweight clash between these two franchises, which could dramatically change the Bills’ odds to win the Super Bowl.
Week 12 has the Bills playing the Kansas City Chiefs, who, as mentioned before, are one of the leading contenders for the Super Bowl. As the Chiefs have won two of the last four Super Bowls, they have certainly got more experience and have dumped the Bills out of the playoffs on a few occasions. However, as the Bills won when the two teams last met, they should go into the game with plenty of confidence that they can repeat the feat. Whoever comes out on top will likely gain a psychological edge heading into the playoffs, where these franchises have met on a regular basis over the past few years.
How to bet on the Bills to win the Super Bowl
Want to bet on the Bills to win the Super Bowl? Well, you can do that right here at Betway. Simply register an account with us or log into an existing one to get started. Then head over to the NFL odds page to start placing your bets. Click into the ‘outrights’ tab and you can select the Bills to win the Super Bowl which adds it to your betslip.
Once you have made your selection, you can add a stake and click ‘confirm bet’ to complete your wager – it’s that easy.
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