UFC Fight Night 114 tips: Best bets for Pettis v Moreno
We make our picks for the main event in Mexico, plus some of the other action in the Octagon.
Sergio Pettis v Brandon Moreno
Moreno is carrying an 11-fight winning streak into this home fight, having last lost back in July 2012.
The Mexican has won two of his three UFC bouts by submission, with the third a split decision over Ryan Benoit.
It’s hard to imagine him losing at this point, even against a fighter as well-rounded as Pettis.
The 23-year-old has won 15 of his 17 fights to date, including his last three since a TKO defeat to Benoit in March 2015.
Pettis is the more polished of these two fighters in terms of striker, but he is little more than competent on the mat and will be at a serious disadvantage if he is taken down by Moreno.
Neither of these fighters have the power to take the other out inside the distance, having accrued just four knockout wins between them.
It seems likely, then, that Moreno will be able to take him down at least a few times in five rounds, and another submission win – which would be the 11th of the Mexican’s career – looks a good bet at .
Alan Jouban v Niko Price
Jouban was beaten by Gunnar Nelson in his last fight, but should get back on track with a win in Mexico.
Price is a dangerous striker who is yet to lose in his MMA career and has picked up six wins by TKO to date.
He is not a particularly technical fighter, though, and Jouban has proven that he is well-equipped to deal with brawlers.
He beat Mike Perry in December – another powerful puncher who was carrying a nine-fight unbeaten record into that bout.
Niko could take Jouban out if he gets close, but the 35-year-old’s speed and footwork should keep him out of range.
A decision win for Jouban – priced at – is the best bet.
Rashad Evans v Sam Alvey
Sadly, it looks like it’s all over for Evans.
The former light heavyweight champion has lost three fights in a row, and looked scared to pull the trigger in his last defeat to Australian judoka Daniel Kelly.
Evans hasn’t won a fight since he took on Chael Sonnen in 2013, and the 37-year-old will be up against it again when he faces Alvey.
The 31-year-old American was on a four-fight winning streak before losing to Thales Leites in April, and he’s got the power to seriously trouble most middleweights.
Evans has only been knocked out twice in his career, so a stoppage win looks unlikely even for a big puncher like Alvey.
The younger man should, however, cruise to a comfortable decision victory, priced at .