UFC on Fox tips: Best bets for Alvarez v Poirier 2
Make the most of Saturday night's event in Calgary with our tipster's picks, which cover the main event and the rest of the main card.
Eddie Alvarez v Dustin Poirier
Saturday night’s main event is almost guaranteed to be a cracker, as Poirier and Alvarez meet for the second time.
The first fight between these two back in December was ruled a no contest after Alvarez landed an illegal knee.
Since then, the pair have both beaten Justin Gaethje with impressive performances to set up this rematch.
Before the stoppage, the first bout had been a war, with Poirier slightly edging the exchanges and almost putting the former lightweight champion away in the second round.
Alvarez was knocked out by Conor McGregor in 2016, and it’s hard to see ‘The Underground King’ winning on Saturday night if he stands and strikes with another elite southpaw.
The former champion is the better wrestler of the two, but struggled to make that advantage count last time, landing just one of four takedown attempts.
Expect more of the same on this occasion. These two will stay on their feet, go toe to toe and Poirier will use his precision and timing to secure the stoppage.
Jose Aldo v Jeremy Stephens
Aldo is arguably the greatest featherweight in UFC history, but the Brazilian has lost three of his last four fights, including back-to-back title bouts against Max Holloway.
So this meeting with the hard-hitting American veteran Stephens is a must-win fight for the former UFC and WEC champion.
After a poor run of five defeats in seven between 2014 and 2017, Stephens has won three fights in a row, knocking out Doo Ho Choi and Josh Emmett in his last two.
The 32-year-old can stop anyone with his vicious right hand, but he’s a relatively one-dimensional fighter and could struggle to deal with Aldo’s all-round approach.
It’s worth remembering that, while Aldo has struggled lately, he’s still only lost to Holloway and Conor McGregor since 2005.
The 31-year-old has made a career out of picking apart wrestlers, grapplers and brawlers like Stephens, and he should secure a win on points here to get back on track.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk v Tecia Torres
Another legend looking to bounce back from back-to-back defeats, Jedrzejczyck should use her world-class Muay Thai to get the win on Saturday.
The Polish 30-year-old was undefeated in 14 professional fights before she was knocked out by Rose Namajunas at UFC 217 in November, and lost the rematch on points in April.
Namajunas is a level above Torres, though, who has a 12-2 professional record but lost to Jessica Andrade last time out.
The American is a solid all-round fighter, but she lacks the power to cause Jedrzejczyk problems, having never stopped an opponent inside the distance.
Expect the former champion to stay on the outside and use her jab to ease to a win by decision.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier v Alexander Hernandez
Hernandez’s UFC debut in March was electric, as he knocked Beneil Dariush out with one punch after just 42 seconds.
The 25-year-old is one of the lightweight division’s best prospects and could jump into the top 15 with a win on Saturday night.
This should be a close fight. Aubin-Mercier is a fine grappler with eight submissions on his record, and the fight could be over very quickly if he takes Hernandez down to the mat.
Given the way the younger man took Dariush out, though, it’s hard to bet against Hernandez’s power.
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