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Here are five bets Guy Giles thinks you should consider for Scotland v Samoa, which kicks off at 11:15 on Monday.

Samoa (+18)

Scotland have lost just once in 11 matches against Samoa, so should win here despite their disappointing display against Ireland.

The Pacific Islanders do, however, look in good enough form to keep the score well within this margin.

Winning margin: Scotland 1-12

All of the last six meetings between these sides have been decided by 10 points or fewer, with nothing to suggest that gap has widened in the meantime.

Highest scoring half: 2nd 

There were just seven points scored in the second half of Ireland v Scotland, but such a low-scoring period is unlikely here.

Samoa scored five tries after the break against Russia, while both sides will see their fitness tested in the heat and humidity in Kobe.

Anytime tryscorer: Alapati Leiua 

Leuia won player of the match against Russia as he bulldozed his way to two tries.

The 31-year-old will fancy his chances against a Scottish backline that offered little attacking threat in their opening match.

Anytime tryscorer: Sam Johnson 

Johnson was kept quiet against Ireland but should find more space against Samoa.

The inside centre has three tries in seven international starts.


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