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Czech won’t bounce in rain-softened Goodwood ground

28 Aug | BY Betway | MIN READ TIME |
Czech won’t bounce in rain-softened Goodwood ground

Saturday's strong Channel 4 card, which features a pleasant mix of graded races and competitive handicaps, is very much welcome

The best betting race at Goodwood on Saturday could well be the ultra competitive 7f handicap at 2.35.

The draw could well sort a few of these out making it slightly easier to figure out than it first looks and perhaps the most interesting horse is the relatively lightly-raced 5yo Czech It Out.

He was badly drawn at Glorious Goodwood but had won a race that worked out extremely well before that over this course and distance.

He has since bounced back with an unlucky second at Newbury last time out in soft ground in a good race.

He should have won both his starts when not badly drawn this season and, having hit the frame in half of his 10 starts, he is a good horse to be backing each way from stall three.

Likely to give him most to do is the well-drawn Suzi’s Connoisseur.

He is difficult to win with (one in last 16 starts) but has been campaigned in the very best handicaps this season and a bit unlucky in running in both starts with the visor fitted.

He met a little trouble when 5th in the International Stakes at Ascot (7f soft ground) and plenty of trouble when a very creditable seventh (beaten less than 3 lengths) in the Stewards Cup (6f good to firm ground).

Conditions should be ideal.

Drying ground could leave rivals Tangoed

Newmarket also has its fair share of tough handicaps, none more so than the 2.50 contest run over 13f.

There are plenty of in-form horses here and if the ground can remain on the easy side then Farquhar should run very well.

He has thrown in some poor performances over the past 12 months but has run really well in two of his last three trips to the racecourse (he was unpenalised for a running on second last time out here when the ground was probably a little on the fast side).

He has run poorly on both attempts at further than 12f to date, but this intermediate trip of 13f could be perfect and he would have won last time out given another furlong to travel.

The big field here should give him a good pace to aim at and he will be produced fast and late.

If the ground was to really dry out then that would suit Intense Tango.

A big improver over hurdles in the winter, she has returned to the flat well treated off her current mark having mixed it in some races this time last year that have worked out really well (close second to Mizzou who is now rated 20+ lbs higher).

Both runs since returning to the flat have been over 12f and she’s been crying out for further while still running really well.

A 4lb rise for finishing third last time may seem a little harsh, but she was badly hampered at a crucial stage in that race and did the best of those who were held up.

Goodwood betting

Upset expected in Beverley Bullet

Over at Beverley things don’t get any easier to figure out in the Beverley Bullet at 2.20.

This may be a listed contest, but it will seem more like a handicap with 16 runners due to go to post.

The draw will play a big part, as will track bias, with prominent racers dominating in recent years (last five renewals have gone to horses who raced handily, three of which made all).

Maarek at 9/2 is the best in on-official figures and is well drawn, but not only is he a hold up horse, he would probably prefer the going a bit softer and an extra furlong.

Instead, it could be worth splitting stakes on two 12/1 shots, Red Pike and Holley Shiftwell.

The former has always looked a talented handicapper and when stepped up into a conditions race last time out he beat some much higher rated rivals.

He is a prominent racer, not too badly drawn in stall 8 given most horses on his inside are going to be taken back anyway and if, proving as effective over 5f as 6f, he should be able to place at least.

Holley Shiftwell has a bit more to find on official ratings here than Red Pike, but she should be able to get a decent position from stall 7 and she has finished second at listed level twice this season over this distance.

If she hadn’t run in the Stewards Cup consolation last time out over an extra furlong, she wouldn’t be this big a price.

Second place special: Betway will refund losing bets on selected races up to £25 if your horse finishes second and is beaten by less than a length. Terms and conditions apply.

Beverley betting

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