Alan Alger: My 4 To Win tips to bag £10k on Saturday
Our expert gives his best advice for winning another massive jackpot in the space of a couple of hours thanks to our free-to-play prediction game.
4 To Win is Betway's free-to-play prediction game, with £10,000 on offer for every day of ITV Racing this week between Wednesday and Saturday.
Simply guess the winner of four chosen races for your chance to claim the cash. Here are Alan Alger's top tips to get you started...
TOP PICK: COUNT CALABASH
Second choice: Thundering Blue
COUNT CALABASH looks more than capable of defying a rise in the weights after a facile success at Kempton last time out. This is the furthest he has raced, but he has always coped with a step up in distance well over the course of his career. A feature of his racing is that he is tough and he’ll need to be in this contest as the Ascot straight seems to last for a little bit longer than most jockeys realise. He was actually headed at Kempton in April and still came back to win, a quality rare in a thoroughbred. His jockey Charles Bishop is in good form with a 30% strike rate over the last fortnight.
TOP PICK: THRAVE
Second choice: Kew Gardens
Rarely a solid trial for the Derby, but what’s in a name?
This is still a race showcasing classy three-year-olds from some top stables.
Henry Candy’s THRAVE looks to have a great chance based on his juvenile form.
He can beat the more exposed favourite Kew Gardens from the Aidan O’Brien stable.
TOP PICK: SILVER STREAK
Second choice: Capitaine
Over the hurdles at Haydock, and a group of horses that have all been seen during the last three months, barring one.
Hassle is returning from an absence of over a year and a half.
The yard is on form and, on his best runs, he cannot be discounted if fit.
I prefer SILVER STREAK, though. Evan Williams’ runner has a nice, low weight and has been crying out for this drier ground.
TOP PICK: MASHAM STAR
Second choice: Sabador
If you’ve got this far, well done.
But the really hard work is just beginning, with a cavalry charge of nearly 30 runners down Ascot’s straight mile that will have its fair share of fortunate breaks and hard-luck stories.
For what appears such a random race, a few trends do hold firm.
Horses weighted below nine stone and aged four have good records, with only a couple of winners falling outside each of those brackets in the last few years.
Higher draws have been favoured in the last decade, with only three winners coming from single-figure stalls in that period.
MASHAM STAR hails from the in-form Mark Johnston stable, who have had 12 winners in the last two weeks.
The horse ticks all the boxes and looks a tad overpriced based on his recent turf form. If he bounces back to anything like his best he can shock here.