With all 12 of their players ranked inside the top 25, and having won by a margin of six points at Hazeltine two years ago, it’s no surprise that the United States are the favourites to retain the Ryder Cup in Paris.

The Americans haven’t won on European soil in 25 years, though, so victory for Jim Furyk’s team is hardly a foregone conclusion.

Tiger Woods’ triumph at the Tour Championship has been painted as an early win for the Americans by journalists across the Atlantic, but a scroll to the bottom of the leaderboard at East Lake reveals some worrying results for the holders.

Brooks Koepka, Patrick Reed, Bubba Watson and Phil Mickelson occupied the bottom four spots at the PGA Tour’s final event, shooting a combined total of 36-over-par.

Mickelson is particularly out-of-form, and Jordan Spieth didn’t even reach the final playoff event, having picked up just one top-10 in 12 events since the Masters in April.

There’s plenty of value in backing Europe to win their seventh Ryder Cup in nine at .

Thomas Bjorn’s team includes four of the world’s top eight players, including golf’s most in-form player, Justin Rose, and Francesco Molinari, who has won three times since May.

Sergio Garcia showed signs that his poor run of form has come to an end with a T7 at last week’s Portugal Masters, and Ian Poulter – coming off a fine season in Europe and the US – should provide the swagger and determination that was largely missing from the team of two years ago.

Europe to win the Ryder Cup
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The last three top scorers at the Ryder Cup have all come from Europe, so it’s best to stick with Bjorn’s men at Le Golf National.

Thomas Pieters won four of five matches last time around to lead all players with four points, and Tommy Fleetwood, another big-hitting young gun, looks the best bet to lead the way in Paris.

The 27-year-old won the Open de France at this course last year, and comes into the event in good form having finished T8 and T11 in his last two starts.

A good start on Friday would almost certainly see Fleetwood play at least four matches, and he’s a decent price to be the overall top scorer at .

Fleetwood to be top combined points scorer
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On the American side, Brooks Koepka looks the best value at .

The world No. 3 has had a fantastic season, winning both the US Open and PGA Championship, and will take on a major role for the US team alongside Dustin Johnson.

Koepka took three points from four matches in 2016, and it’s not hard to see him playing in all five this time around and potentially improving upon that haul.

Koepka to be top American points scorer
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Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods to score fewer than 3 points combined

With a combined Ryder Cup record of 31-37-10, Mickelson and Woods look a good bet to struggle in Paris.

Mickelson comes into the event in poor form and will be vulnerable, particularly if, as expected, he’s paired with Tony Finau and not one of the US team’s big guns.

The 48-year-old likely won’t play more than three matches.

Woods is obviously in great form, but fatigue is to be expected after his heroics at the Tour Championship and he won’t be overworked by Furyk.

Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood and Justin Rose to score 2.5+ points each

McIlroy and Rose will surely play five times each for Europe, and are both in great form having finished T7 and &4 respectively at East Lake.

Fleetwood is also going to see plenty of action and, as detailed above, is primed for a big week.

Europe to win 14.5-13.5, Fleetwood top points scorer, Mickelson to score no points

While Europe look the team to back this weekend, it’s going to be close.

Two of Europe’s last three victories have been by a scoreline of 14.5-13.5, and that looks the likeliest outcome again on this occasion given how evenly matched these teams are on paper.

Add in Fleetwood to top score and Mickelson to struggle and you get a great price.