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Back to win: Soren Kjeldsen

Kjeldsen tied for 18th at this event last year, and he’s now finished inside the top 25 in eight of his last nine starts at Valderrama.

That run includes a victory at the Volvo Masters in 2008, which was sandwiched between runner-up finishes in 2007 and 2009.

The Dane loves this course, and he’s a huge threat to 4/1 favourite Sergio Garcia this week given that he comes into this event in decent form.

Kjeldsen’s made six successive cuts, and he’s only three starts removed from a T6 at the KLM Open in the Netherlands.

Kjeldsen to win
{{::outcome.FormattedDecimal}} {{::outcome.Numerator}}/{{::outcome.Denominator}} 20/1

Each-way shout: Marcus Kinhult

Kinhult has only played at Valderrama once before, finishing T42 at the Open de España in 2016, but the talented Swede should improve on that result this weekend after a breakout season on the European Tour.

The 22-year-old has put in some excellent performances at the Qatar Masters, Open de France and Portugal Masters this year – finishing inside the top five in all three of those events.

He also earned a respectable T12 in a strong field at the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth in May.

Like Wentworth and Le Golf National, Valderrama is the kind of demanding course that Kinhult excels on, and this looks like a good chance for the promising Swede to earn his first European Tour win.

Kinhult to win (e/w)
{{::outcome.FormattedDecimal}} {{::outcome.Numerator}}/{{::outcome.Denominator}} 33/1

Outside shot: Ricardo Gouveia

Gouveia’s T9 at last week’s British Masters was his second top-10 in his last three starts, having also claimed a T7 on home soil at the Portugal Masters last month.

The 27-year-old can keep his impressive run of form going at an event he’s played twice in his career, finishing T23 last year and T38 in 2016.

Gouveia sat inside the top 10 for three rounds last year until he fell away with a 74 on Sunday, and he looks poised to better his result after finishing well at Walton Heath last week.

Currently 104th in the Race to Dubai, Gouveia has an extra incentive to play well this week, and another strong showing will guarantee his spot on the European Tour next year.

Gouveia to win (e/w)
{{::outcome.FormattedDecimal}} {{::outcome.Numerator}}/{{::outcome.Denominator}} 66/1

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