The view of the opposition: Brighton v West Ham
We provide analysis and best bets as the Hammers try and become the first team outside the top six to beat the Seagulls at the Amex this season.
West Ham have only lost one of their last 10 league games, but, having had to settle for draws in four of their last six, are still yet to pull completely clear of relegation danger.
The same can be said of their weekend opponents, Brighton, who are just one point above the drop despite their solid home record.
The Seagulls have only lost to Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea at the Amex this season, but have taken maximum points from just one of their last seven home matches against teams outside the top six.
With both teams drawing 1-1 in midweek, the sensible money looks to be on another stalemate in this one.
Should that prove to be the case, then the match is likely to be a cagey affair.
Brighton are the Premier League’s joint-lowest scorers with 18 goals to their name so far, including just five in their last 13 matches.
The Hammers, meanwhile, are without a whole host of attackers, with Marko Arnautovic, Andy Carroll, Manuel Lanzini and Pedro Obiang – who between them have accounted for 11 of West Ham’s last 18 league goals – all sidelined through injury.
And with the scorers of two more – Diafra Sakho and Andre Ayew – both leaving during the January transfer window, it makes sense to think outside the box when it comes to backing a goalscorer.
Brighton have developed a habit of conceding goals from set pieces of late, with five different defenders netting against them during their last five matches.
Only Javier Hernandez has scored more than Angelo Ogbonna among the players that David Moyes has available for selection this weekend.
And, having correctly tipped the Italian to get on the scoresheet at the Etihad back in December, we’re backing him to make that aerial threat count once again on Saturday.
Under 2.5 goals -
Angelo Ogbonna to score -