Tenner On is our writers' weekly football tips competition.

The rules are simple: each writer is given £10 to place any bet(s) they like over the weekend. At the end of the season, the writer with the most profit is crowned the Insider's top tipster.



Under 2.5 goals in Bury v Port Vale, BTTS in MK Dons v Mansfield and Stevenage and Carlisle to win: £10 at 10/1*

There’s plenty of value on offer on the final day of League Two, so that’s where I’m sticking this week.

Port Vale have the best defensive record away from home in the entire EFL, having conceded just 18 goals in 22 games on the road. They travel to an already-promoted Bury side in a dead rubber so, at close to evens, I’m all over this.

MK Dons have only failed to score in three of their 25 home games in all competitions this season, while BTTS has landed in six of Mansfield’s last eight matches. Expect goals as the two slug out an automatic-promotion decider.

Stevenage and Carlisle, meanwhile, both have an outside chance of claiming the last play-off spot. They face Cheltenham and Yeovil respectively, neither of whom have anything to play for.



Wolfsburg to win & over 1.5 goals, Macclesfield and Stoke draw no bet, BTTS & Over 2.5 goals in Lyon v Lille: £10 at 12/1*

Wolfsburg have won five consecutive home matches against bottom-half teams, the last four of which have all been better than 1-0.

Nuremberg have lost 10 of their last 11 away games.

Macclesfield require just a draw to ensure League Two survival, but should beat a Cambridge side that have lost four of their last five.

Stoke are unbeaten in six at home, so I fancy them to beat a Sheffield United side that have spent the week celebrating promotion.

I’m playing both of those EFL picks safe with the draw no bet.

Finally, BTTS & over 2.5 has landed in Lyon’s last six home matches, so their meeting with Lille is an easy inclusion.



Roma to win, Atalanta and Lyon to win or draw and BTTS: £10 at 8/1*

Roma are in great shape at the moment, having beaten Cagliari 3-0 last weekend to extend their unbeaten run to five games. They should see off Genoa, who are winless in six.

Atalanta and Lazio are two of Serie A’s better attacking sides, so goals look guaranteed when they meet on Sunday. I fancy the visitors to avoid defeat, as they have in all of their last 11 games.

I’m following Adam in on Lyon v Lille, which looks to be one of the best BTTS bets of the weekend.

The hosts have only lost two of their last 14 home league games – a run that includes a 2-1 win over PSG – so it’s worth throwing the double chance in as well.



Crystal Palace to beat Cardiff: £10 at 13/8*

I’m throwing my support behind new lad Guy Giles this week.

He’s predicted Palace to win in his Saturday night five-fold and I think he’s right.

The Eagles have won four of their last five league matches away from home, while Cardiff have lost four of their last five at home.



BTTS & over 2.5 goals in Oldham v Northampton, Bradford v AFC Wimbledon, Luton v Oxford, Peterborough v Burton and Aston Villa v Norwich: £10 at 50/1*

A combination of desperation and indifference means funny things can happen at this time of year, so I'm going for a BTTS & over 2.5 five-fold.

We'll start in League Two on Saturday afternoon. BTTS has landed in Northampton's last seven games – including three 3-1s and two 2-2s – while Oldham's last two at Boundary Park have finished 3-2 and 2-2.

In League One on Saturday evening, Peterborough need another win to have any chance of making the play-offs after beating Portsmouth 3-2 in midweek. There have been goals at both ends in eight of Burton's last 10, so it ought to be interesting.

BTTS & over 2.5 has landed in five of Oxford's last six. Luton are the division's top scorers, have one clean sheet in six and need to better Barnsley's result to seal the title, so that pattern should continue.

Wimbledon need one more result to guarantee safety but, having scored and conceded in six of their last seven, it's unlikely to be a boring 1-0 – particularly after Bradford beat Scunthorpe 3-2 in their first game since relegation.

Finally, there's a reason the final leg in the Championship on Sunday is odds-on, given Villa have the third-highest BTTS percentage at home and Norwich the second-highest away.

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