WIN/DRAW/WIN

Hull to beat Middlesbrough (12:00)

Third-bottom Middlesbrough were held to a 2-2 draw at QPR before the international break, extending their winless run to nine matches.

Jonathan Woodgate’s side aren’t creating enough to win matches – they average the fourth-fewest shots on target per game and, having netted 13 goals, are the lowest scorers in the Championship.

Hull have won three of their last four league games, with their only defeat in that sequence coming against league-leaders West Brom.

Hoffenheim (-1) to beat Mainz (17:00)

Mainz were beaten 3-2 by Union Berlin last time out, meaning they’ve lost nine of 12 games in all competitions this season.

That run includes an 8-0 walloping at RB Leipzig in their last away game and six defeats out of seven on the road – four of which were by a margin of two or more goals.

Hoffenheim came from behind to beat Cologne 2-1 in their last league game and have won six straight matches.

Marseille to beat Toulouse (20:00)

Marseille have beaten Lille and Lyon in back-to-back matches to move up to second in the Ligue 1 table.

Andre Villas-Boas’ side have lost just two of their last 12 league games, with one of those defeats coming away to league-leaders PSG.

Toulouse have lost three on the spin and have earned fewer points than any other side in their last 10 league games.

BTTS

Bologna v Parma (11:30)

BTTS has landed in nine of Bologna’s 12 Serie A matches this season, the joint-most in the division.

Their 3-1 defeat at Sassuolo before the international break means that there have now been goals at both ends in their last six league games.

Parma have scored in six of their last eight league games, keeping just two clean sheets in the process.

PSV v Heerenveen (13:30)

PSV have been on a shocking run defensively, conceding 11 goals across their last four Erevidisie matches.

Mark van Bommel’s side have at least scored in their last two, netting 16 goals in six home league matches this season.

Heerenveen have scored in 10 consecutive games dating back to August, including 11 in their last four on the road.

Saint-Etienne v Montpellier (16:00)

Saint-Etienne beat Nantes 3-2 in their last match and are currently on a nine-match scoring run.

That sequence also includes two 2-2 draws in their past four matches.

Montpellier beat Toulouse 3-0 last time out, meaning that they’ve now scored eight goals in their last three matches in all competitions.

MYTHBUSTER

Bologna not to beat Parma (11:30)

Bologna have only won one of their last nine matches, losing their last three.

The hosts rank 17^th for xPts since the beginning of October, with their visitors up in fifth in the same metric.

Parma have drawn with Inter and Fiorentina and beaten Roma in their last four.

ANYTIME GOALSCORERS

Joaquin Correa (Lazio) to score v Sassuolo (14:00)

Having successfully tipped Correa to score in both of his last two matches, there’s no reason not to include him again.

The Argentine has five goals in his last six games, ranking 11^th for shots per game and third for xG in Serie A.

Sassuolo have conceded 11 goals in their last four at home, shipping four to Atalanta and Inter.

Jurgen Locadia (Hoffenheim) to score v Mainz (17:00)

Hoffenheim are on a run of five consecutive league victories, with Locadia scoring in all of the last three.

And, considering Mainz were beaten 8-0 at RB Leipzig in their last away game, more opportunities should come his way.

The visitors have conceded four more goals than any other side in the Bundesliga this season, and also rank bottom for xG against.

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal) to score v Celta Vigo (17:30)

Moreno has scored five goals in his last six matches for club and country, including three in two for Spain during the international break.

The forward ranks third for shots per game and fifth for xG in La Liga this season.

Celta Vigo have conceded at least twice in all of their last four away games.

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