WIN/DRAW/WIN

Atalanta to beat Brescia & over 2.5 goals (14:00)

Atalanta ended a five-match winless streak in all competitions with a 2-0 victory over Dinamo Zagreb on Tuesday, and it should get even better for them on Saturday.

La Dea are unbeaten away from home in Serie A this season and are the top scorers in the league, having netted 31 goals in 13 matches.

Bottom-of-the-league Brescia have lost seven of their last eight matches, with three or more goals scored in each of those losses.

Hull to beat Barnsley (15:00)

Hull thumped in-form Preston 4-0 at the KCOM Stadium on Wednesday, with Jarrod Bowen bagging his 13th and 14th goals of the season.

That was the Tigers’ fourth victory in six matches, with their only defeat in that sequence coming against league leaders West Brom earlier this month, while Bowen’s presence makes them an even better bet.

Bottom-of-the-league Barnsley lost 1-0 at fellow strugglers Middlesbrough in midweek and have picked up just nine points this season, having failed to win since the opening day.

Nottingham Forest to beat Cardiff (15:00)

Nottingham Forest moved up to fourth in the Championship in midweek following their 4-0 victory away to QPR.

That was a third win in four matches for Sabri Lamouchi’s side and, returning to the City Ground, where they have won four of their last six, they represent great value.

Cardiff are one of four sides yet to record an away victory in the second tier.

Oxford to beat Walsall (15:00)

Oxford hammered relegation candidates Southend 4-0 away last weekend, extending their unbeaten run to 15 matches in all competitions.

Karl Robinson’s side have scored three or more goals on eight occasions in that sequence and will surely have too much for lower-league opposition.

Walsall are third-bottom of League Two and were held to a 2-2 draw at home to National League North Darlington in the FA Cup first round.

Valencia to beat Villarreal (20:00)

Valencia are one of four sides, along with the big three, yet to lose at home this season.

Albert Celades’ side come into this on the back of a 2-2 draw with Chelsea at the Mestalla on Wednesday, and have won two of their last three league games.

Villarreal have taken one point from their last four matches and lost four of their last five on the road.

BTTS

Hertha Berlin v Borussia Dortmund (14:30)

BTTS has landed in five consecutive Hertha Berlin home matches, with the last three reading 2-3, 3-3 and 2-4.

The appointment of Jurgen Klinsmann as manager this week is unlikely to result in them shoring up defensively.

Dortmund have scored 12 goals in their last six games.

MYTHBUSTER

Fiorentina not to beat Lecce (19:45)

Fiorentina have only won two of their last six home matches, drawing 1-1 with Parma last weekend.

Vincenzo Montella’s side have lost both of their last two overall.

Lecce have drawn five of their last six and could have done even better. They posted an xG of 4.09 in Monday’s 2-2 draw with Cagliari and 2.56 at Lazio in their last away game.

ANYTIME GOALSCORERS

Andrej Kramaric (Hoffenheim) to score v Fortuna Dusseldorf (14:30)

Kramaric has only made three appearances this season, scoring in all of them.

That includes a goal as a substitute in last week’s game against Mainz, and he should return to the starting XI now that he has fully recovered from injury.

Dusseldorf have conceded at least twice in their last five away games, and rank third-bottom for xG against in the league.

Ashley Barnes (Burnley) to score v Crystal Palace (15:00)

Barnes has scored six goals this season, including one in each of his last two matches.

He ranks 11th for shots and eighth for xG in the Premier League, and is an established penalty-taker.

Crystal Palace are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season, conceding nine goals in their last four on the road.

Mo Salah (Liverpool) to score v Brighton (15:00)

These are long odds for a player who habitually scores in this kind of match.

Salah has only failed to score against second-placed Leicester in six Premier League home matches this season, and netted nine goals in 10 home matches against bottom-half sides last season.

Brighton have conceded at least twice in six of their last eight games, including three at Manchester United in their last away match.

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