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WIN/DRAW/WIN

Burton to beat Accrington Stanley

Burton are up to ninth in League One after winning five of their last six league matches.

Nigel Clough’s side have won four consecutive league games at the Pirelli Stadium, scoring nine goals and conceding three.

Accrington suffered the ignominy of losing to a dreadful Southend team last weekend, their third consecutive league defeat.

Crawley to beat Grimsby

Grimsby won their first two matches under Ian Holloway at the start of the month.

However, having lost the shot and xG count in both (experimental361), it’s no surprise the Mariners have taken one point from their last two matches, deservedly being beaten 1-0 by Exeter last weekend.

Crawley have taken seven points from top-10 sides Northampton, Forest Green and Bradford in their last three matches at the People’s Pension Stadium and rank top for shots per League Two home game.

Plymouth to beat Stevenage

Plymouth have won five of their last six matches, scoring three goals in each of their last three.

Ryan Lowe’s side have won three consecutive games on the road, with only Swindon picking up more League Two points since the beginning of November.

Stevenage haven’t scored in any of their last four home games, only beating Grimsby and Morecambe at the Lamex Stadium this season.

BTTS

BTTS & over 2.5 goals in Brentford v Leicester (12:30)

Brentford have scored 18 goals in their last seven home games.

At least two of Ollie Watkins, Bryan Mbuemo and Said Benrahma have scored in four of the Bees’ last five home league games.

Leicester have only failed to score against Liverpool in their last 28 matches in all competitions.

Union Berlin v Augsburg (14:30)

Union Berlin have scored in seven of their nine home matches this season, with BTTS landing in three of their last four overall.

Augsburg have scored and conceded in five of their last six games.

They lost 5-3 to Borussia Dortmund last week, and also lost 4-2 and 3-1 back in December.

Ipswich v Lincoln (15:00)

BTTS has landed in five of Ipswich’s last six matches.

The Tractor Boys beat Accrington 4-1 in their last home game, and have scored in 12 of their 15 home outings overall this season.

Lincoln have scored and conceded in five of their last six games, and won the reverse fixture between these sides 5-3 at the end of December.

Valencia v Barcelona (15:00)

BTTS has landed in six of Valencia’s last eight home games, including in a 1-1 draw with Real Madrid in December.

Los Ches have scored in all of their last 18 matches, and lost 5-2 in the reverse fixture at Barcelona in September.

Barca have scored and conceded in six of their last seven away games, with their last two La Liga matches on the road finishing 2-2.

MYTHBUSTERS

Newcastle not to beat Oxford (15:00)

Newcastle have been incredibly lucky to take any points, let alone four, from their games with Chelsea and Everton in the last week.

Steve Bruce’s side rank comfortably bottom of the Premier League in terms of xPoints.

Five of their six home victories this season have come by one goal, while the club haven’t progressed beyond the FA Cup fourth round for 14 years.

Oxford have lost just two of their last 10 away games, and, in Shandon Bapiste, Tarique Fosu and others, have the talent to cause Premier League opposition big problems.

Swindon not to beat Port Vale (15:00)

Eoin Doyle (23) and Jerry Yates (12) are the two top goalscorers in League Two, but have both been recalled from loans at Swindon by their parent clubs this month.

Richie Wellens’ side have netted 49 goals this season, the joint-most in the division, but only the scorers of six of those goals are available for this game.

Port Vale have only lost four of their last 11 away games, one of which was at Manchester City.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER

Gaetan Charbonnier (Brest) to score v Amiens (19:00)

Amiens have conceded 16 goals in their last five away games, and are without a clean sheet away from home in Ligue 1 this season.

Charbonnier, who netted a brace in Brest’s 5-2 win at Toulouse last week, is the best bet to take advantage of that record.

He ranks top for xG and shots per game in Brest’s squad.

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