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Here are Adam Drury's football betting tips for Southampton v Manchester City on Sunday.

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Manchester City score over 2.5 goals

Of the eight occasions that Pep Guardiola's Manchester City have gone two or more games without a win, they have responded by scoring three or more goals in their next victory seven times.

Though most of those examples date back to the 2016/17 season, they did respond to losing three consecutive matches by dispatching Tottenham 3-1 at Wembley in April 2018. If you fancy them to win this match, it is worth backing them to do it in style.

With the much-missed Fernandinho and David Silva back in the frame, and in the knowledge that a convincing win would set them up well for a massive game against Liverpool next week, expect them to come out firing after a couple of defeats.

Riyad Mahrez to score

After Raheem Sterling and Leroy Sane failed to make much of an impact in those losses, Mahrez is surely a certainty to start this one.

The Algerian has only started one away game at non-Big Six opposition this season, scoring in a win at Watford at the start of the month. He has also netted at Cardiff and Tottenham this season.

Southampton not to score

City have conceded goal-of-the-season contenders in both of their last two matches, making their defensive effort look worse than it really has been.

Though they are now on a run of nine matches without a clean sheet, they had conceded just once in five of the previous six before this bad week.

That suggests that a clean sheet will soon come, and a game against Southampton – who set up negatively with three holding midfielders against West Ham on Thursday – is a good chance.

Oriol Romeu to be carded

Romeu is one of those midfielders, and is a fair bet to add to his tally of four yellow cards in this one.

The Spaniard has already been booked against Liverpool and Chelsea this term, and picked up 13 yellows last season.

He ranks second for tackles and fifth for fouls in the Saints squad.

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