#BetYourWay: Our 66/1 shot for Brighton v Bournemouth
After a few near misses, we're backing an unlikely goalscorer to prove the difference in the south-coast derby on New Year's Day.
Brighton to win to nil –
Brighton have the best defence outside the top seven, and have kept clean sheets in three of their last four at home.
They’ve only scored twice during that time, but ought to be able to break through a Bournemouth side that have conceded in each of their last nine.
Under 2.5 goals –
Chris Hughton’s pragmatic approach means there have been under 2.5 goals in 13 of Brighton’s last 16 league games.
That includes a total of just three in their last four, so don’t expect a thriller in the first Premier League game of 2018.
Lewis Dunk to score –
Brighton’s forwards are hardly scoring for fun, which means Dunk, with his threat from set-pieces, is well worth a punt to get on the scoresheet.
The centre-half had Brighton’s best chance against Newcastle in the Seagulls’ last game and has also gone close against Watford and Burnley in recent weeks.
Under 1.5 Bournemouth cards –
The Cherries are in the top half of the discipline table thanks to a run of just seven bookings in their last five matches.
This game is being billed as a derby, but there shouldn’t be too much niggle for the referee to have to try and control.