New Year's Day Betting Guide: Our writers' 10 best football tips
We've compiled our writers’ best football tips, including win/draw/win and BTTS, into one bite-size betting preview for the New Year's Day matches.
Millwall to beat Luton (12:45)
Millwall moved to within two points of the Championship play-off spots following their 1-0 victory over in-form Brentford at home on Sunday.
That was Lions' third win in five, while they have only lost two of their 13 league games since Gary Rowett took over as manager in October.
Luton fell to second-bottom after they were beaten 3-0 by Bristol City last weekend - their 10th defeat in 13 matches.
Birmingham to beat Wigan (15:00)
This tip is based almost entirely on Wigan’s dreadful away record, given they have picked up four points from 13 winless games on the road this season.
The Latics have managed just two victories under Paul Cook in the Championship, losing 25 of their 36 games away from the DW Stadium.
Birmingham aren’t in great form themselves, having lost four of their last five, but put in a decent performance in their 5-4 defeat to leaders Leeds on Sunday, coming from behind to level on three separate occasions.
AFC Wimbledon to beat Southend (15:00)
Second-bottom Southend’s winless run was extended to 14 league games on Boxing Day following a 2-2 draw with fellow relegation candidates MK Dons.
Sol Campbell’s side only have eight points on the board this season, just one ahead of Bolton, who started the season on -12.
Wimbledon lost 2-1 to in-form Oxford last weekend, but had won three of their previous five and look a generous price against the division’s crisis club.
Coventry to beat Tranmere (15:00)
Coventry earned the result of the weekend on Sunday by winning 4-1 away to league leaders Wycombe, who hadn’t been beaten at Adams Park all season.
That was the Sky Blues’ third victory in four matches in all competitions, while they have lost one league game in 10.
Tranmere are only above the relegation zone on goal difference after winning one of their last seven matches in League One.
Manchester City to beat Everton & BTTS (17:30)
Manchester City bounced back from their 3-2 defeat to Wolves at Molineux by beating Sheffield United 2-0 on Sunday - their fifth victory in six matches and seventh in nine at home.
Despite their impressive form, Pep Guardiola's side have struggled defensively this season and that clean sheet was only their second in 15 games in all competitions.
This bet landed in the reverse fixture in September, when Manchester City won 3-1, and Everton have only failed to score once in their last eight.
AFC Wimbledon v Southend (15:00)
AFC Wimbledon and Southend are two of League One's top three teams when it comes to BTTS ratio this season.
The hosts have scored and conceded in four of their last five games, including in Sunday’s 2-1 defeat to Oxford.
Southend’s last four matches have finished 4-2, 2-2, 3-2 and 2-2.
Bolton v Burton (15:00)
Bolton have scored and conceded in five of their last six home league games, including in Sunday’s 1-1 draw with Shrewsbury.
Keith Hill’s side have managed just two clean sheets from 11 in all competitions.
Burton have scored in 10 of their last 14 games, producing 3-1 and 4-2 scorelines in the last fortnight.
Fleetwood v Sunderland (15:00)
BTTS had landed in five consecutive Fleetwood games before a 0-0 draw with Bristol Rovers on Sunday in which they posted an xG of 2.0 (experimental361).
That was just the second time in 13 that they have failed to score at home this season.
After winning 2-1 at Doncaster on Sunday, Sunderland have both scored and conceded in four of their last six.
Chelsea not to beat Brighton (12:30)
Chelsea have beaten Tottenham and Arsenal away in the last fortnight, but they are just two of three victories in their last eight league games.
Frank Lampard's side have won just one of their last five games against teams outside the Big Six.
Brighton were excellent in victory against Bournemouth on Saturday, and have lost two of their last seven at the AMEX Stadium. They have already beaten Tottenham 3-0 there this season.
Lukas Jutkiewicz (Birmingham) to score v Wigan (15:00)
Seven of Jutkiewicz's eight goals this season have come at St Andrew's, including two in Sunday's 5-4 defeat to Leeds.
The striker ranks fourth for shots inside the penalty area per Championship game this season.
Wigan have conceded 22 goals away from home this season, the fifth-worst tally in the division.
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