Leicester not to beat Cardiff

Leicester have expended lots of energy in beating Chelsea and Manchester City in the last week, so they are a fair bet to struggle to find the intensity required to beat Cardiff on Saturday - particularly considering the team who previously beat Man City, Crystal Palace, ran out of steam against the Bluebirds on Boxing Day.

Claude Puel’s side have already had problems breaking down lower-ranked sides at the King Power Stadium this season, failing to beat Everton, West Ham and Burnley on home turf, and rank fifth-bottom for xG at home.

Cardiff have proved their ability to frustrate on the road by holding Huddersfield and Crystal Palace to 0-0 draws this season, and are a good bet to achieve similar against fatigued opposition here.

Rochdale not to beat Bradford

Having only lost at second-placed Luton and third-placed Sunderland in their last 11 non-EFL Trophy matches, Bradford look a big price to avoid defeat at Rochdale on Saturday.

The Bantams were unfortunate at the Stadium of Light on Boxing Day, being denied a legitimate goal in the second half. They had previously scored at least twice in five consecutive matches.

Only a first-half red card enabled Rochdale to beat Blackpool at Spotland on Boxing Day. They had previously lost consecutive home league matches, including to bottom-place Plymouth, and have won just three of their last nine in League One overall.

Sunderland not to beat Shrewsbury

Sunderland were lucky to beat Bradford 1-0 on Boxing Day, so it is worth backing them not to be as fortunate for the visit of Shrewsbury here.

The Mackems have only won three of their last six league matches and only rank in mid-table for both shots and xG (experimental361).

Shrewsbury posted an xG of 1.7 despite losing at Accrington on Boxing Day and there are clear signs of progress under new manager Sam Ricketts. The Shrews had taken four points from their two previous matches, while they have already secured draws at top-seven sides Portsmouth and Doncaster this season.

Exeter not to beat Grimsby

Grimsby are second in League Two’s six-match form table, so despite a much worse start to the season, their trajectory is very different to Exeter’s.

Michael Jolley’s side have improved markedly since the middle of November, winning seven and drawing one of their last nine non-EFL Trophy matches, including victories in all of their last three.

By contrast, Exeter are on a downward slope. They have scraped past out-of-form Crewe and Yeovil in their last two home games, but the fact they had previously gone four without a win in the league and FA Cup at St James’ Park is more relevant for this game against much stronger opposition.


*Odds subject to change.

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