Atalanta not to beat Parma

Atalanta have failed to score in four consecutive home matches, which doesn’t inspire much faith in their status as odds-on favourites for this match.

Gian Pero Gasperini’s side have slipped to 1-0 defeats in two of the last three matches, and are in the bottom half of Serie A for xG at home (Understat).

Parma have won two of their four league away matches so far this term, including an impressive 1-0 win at Inter last month. Against impotent hosts, one goal – which they have managed in six of their nine Serie A matches overall – may be enough to take at least a point.

Watford not to beat Huddersfield

An improvement in results is imminent for Huddersfield, who have performed much better than their results throughout a tough run of fixtures suggest.

Four of the Terriers’ six defeats this season have come against Chelsea, Manchester City, Tottenham and Liverpool. They won the xG count comfortably in another, against Crystal Palace, as well as the 1-1 draw at Burnley in their last away game (Understat).

Having avoided defeat in two of their last three on the road, David Wagner’s side were at least a match for Jurgen Klopp’s side in last week’s 1-0 defeat.

They can get their good run going at Watford, who habitually provide struggling opponents with a timely boost.

Two of three relegated teams, Stoke and Swansea, claimed rare away wins at Vicarage Road last season, while Huddersfield themselves ended a seven-match winless run on the road to win this fixture 4-1.

Sunderland not to beat Southend

Sunderland are in good nick away from home, but have found life trickier at the Stadium of Light this season.

Jack Ross’ side have won just one of their last four League One home outings, conceding in all of them, and have conceded the sixth-most shots on target per home game of any side in the division.

They could struggle to keep out Southend, who have scored seven goals in winning all of their last three league away games, and will welcome back six-goal Simon Cox – who scored in all of those wins – from suspension.

Hoffenheim not to beat Stuttgart

Hoffenheim are without a win in five at home, simply because they give up too many goalscoring chances to take advantage of their excellent attacking numbers.

Julien Nagelsmann’s side drew 1-1 with Borussia Dortmund at the start of last month, before three consecutive 2-1 defeats and a 3-3 draw with Lyon on Tuesday. Understat rate them as the fifth-worst defence in terms of xG against in Bundesliga home games.

Their backline could cost them against Stuttgart, who drew 3-3 at Freiburg last month and subsequently inflicted Werder Bremen’s only defeat of the season.


*Odds subject to change.

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