Lincoln not to beat Mansfield (13:00)

Lincoln have not quite sustained their excellent start to the League Two season, winning just one of their last four matches – a 2-1 victory over Forest Green in which they drew the xG count 1.2-1.2, according to experimental361.

Danny Cowley’s side have won just three of their last six league matches at Sincil Bank, and come up against opposition capable of further worsening that sequence.

Mansfield have only lost once in the league all season, and are undefeated away from home. They have won three and drawn one of their last four League Two matches, while they have also won this fixture once already this season, albeit in the EFL Trophy.

Liverpool not to beat Watford (15:00)

Liverpool’s away form is decidedly unimpressive for a team competing on all fronts this season.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have won just one of their last five matches on the road, and have been run close even when taking three points. They survived late sieges having failed to convincingly win the xG battle in a 2-1 win at Leicester and 1-0 win at Huddersfield.

Watford – whose record at home to the Big Six since the beginning of last season is good – are hardly ideal opposition.

The Hornets took at least a point from Liverpool, Arsenal, Tottenham and Chelsea at Vicarage Road last term, while they have already beaten Spurs there this season. They have lost three of their last 14 home league games overall.

Oxford not to beat Bradford (15:00)

Bradford were successfully tipped to take a point from Peterborough in this piece last week, so I’m siding with them again when they take on struggling opposition on home turf.

The Bantams only went down 1-0 to league-leaders Portsmouth in their last league match at Valley Parade before that good point at London Road, with manager David Hopkin telling the local press this week that he believe the tide is slowly turning.

Oxford are without a League One win away from home all season, scoring five and conceding six in a run of six away matches that included a 3-3 draw at Scunthorpe. Backing a 0-0 draw at could be worthwhile.

Rangers not to beat Livingston (15:00)

Having held Celtic to a 0-0 draw in their last league match, there could be some value in back Livingston to do similar at Ibrox on Saturday.

Gary Holt’s side have lost just three of their 12 league matches this season, while conceding only seven goals – a run that also includes a 1-0 home win over Rangers.

Steven Gerrard’s side were held 1-1 by Kilmarnock in their last home match but one, before thrashing a Motherwell side that are far from as resilient as Saturday’s visitors.


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