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Had you placed a £10 stake on each of Adam Drury's Mythbusters football betting tips for the 2018/19 season, your profit would be:

Multiple: +£207.35

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Brighton not to beat Derby (12:30)

Derby have lost just two of their last 15 matches in all competitions, against two of the Championship’s top three, Leeds and Sheffield United.

Four-time FA Cup winner Frank Lampard has spoken of his fondness for this competition, so his side are a good bet to at least avoid 90-minute defeat to a Brighton side that seem less intent on taking it as seriously.

The Seagulls couldn’t manage a normal-time victory in either of their two games with Championship West Brom in the last round, with Lewis Dunk, Pascal Gross, Solly March, Davy Propper and Glenn Murray sitting out all three FA Cup games this season.

Chris Hughton’s side have won just two of their last 14 overall.

Millwall not to beat AFC Wimbledon (15:00)

AFC Wimbledon beat West Ham 4-2 at Kingsmeadow in the last round, and they can at least avoid a 90-minute defeat again here.

Wally Downes’ side secured a morale-boosting 1-0 win at Walsall in League One on Tuesday and take on a side that are dreadful on the road.

The Lions have won just once in 15 away games this season, at the Championship’s bottom side Ipswich.

Their decent cup record is built entirely on playing home, with last season’s 1-0 defeat at Rochdale one of three consecutive knockout defeats on the road. 

Port Vale v Morecambe (15:00)

Port Vale have won just one of their last 13 matches, failing to score a single goal in any of their last four, so they could well slip up against Morecambe.

Saturday’s hosts rank fourth-bottom for shots on target per home League Two match this term, and they now take on a side who are in decent nick on the road.

Jim Bentley’s visitors have drawn their last three matches on the road, against strong Colchester, Exeter and Northampton sides, and are unbeaten in four away to bottom-half teams.

Rayo Vallecano v Atletico Madrid (15:15)

Rayo Vallecano have conceded late goals to lose their last two matches, but having won four and drawn one of their previous five, they still stand a good chance of taking something here.

Atletico have also lost their last two games, including at 16th-place Celta Vigo, and have won just five of their 16 away matches in all competitions this season.

Diego Simeone’s side have scored more than once in just three of their last nine games, a problem that looks unlikely to be solved by Alvaro Morata if his first two starts are anything to go by.

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*Odds subject to change.

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