Crystal Palace not to beat Watford

Watford have been consistently good away from home this season, losing just three of their 13 matches on the road.

The Hornets have taken a respectable five points from Everton, West Ham and Bournemouth in their last three league away games, taking the lead in draws at Goodison Park and the Vitality Stadium.

Hosts Crystal Palace have been toothless at Selhurst Park this season, failing to score in seven of their 10 home league matches, and labouring to a 1-0 win over Grimsby last week despite fielding a strong team.

Those numbers suggest a 0-0 draw is worth considering on Saturday, but the fact Watford have scored at least twice in four consecutive away games means they could easily take all three points.

Leicester not to beat Southampton

Tipping Leicester to slip up against Cardiff a fortnight ago proved profitable, and plenty of the same logic applies here.

Recent wins against Chelsea and Manchester City were impressive, but the Foxes have struggled to put away teams that are happy to sit back and frustrate – dropping points against West Ham, Burnley and the Bluebirds at the King Power Stadium this season, and losing to Newport in the FA Cup last week.

Southampton have picked up under Ralph Hasenhuttl, losing just two of their last six matches, one of which was against Manchester City.

They backed up an easy win at Huddersfield with an excellent 0-0 draw at Chelsea on the road, so can frustrate Leicester on Saturday.

Nottingham Forest not to beat Reading

The impact of new manager Jose Gomes is yet to show in Reading’s league results, so this is a bit of a punt, but there’s enough evidence to suggest that an upturn could be imminent.

The Royals were impressive at Old Trafford last week, with Manchester United’s clinical edge the key difference between the sides.

They have registered an xG of more than 1.0 in their last two league outings, suggesting that their attacking returns should soon pick up, while the loan signings of Ovie Ejaria and Lewis Baker from Liverpool and Chelsea should improve them further.

Nottingham Forest have won four, drawn four and lost four of their last 12 games, and that inconsistency doesn’t justify a price of close to evens to win here.

Burton not to beat Gillingham

Nigel Clough encouraged his team to take their frustrations from Wednesday night’s 9-0 battering at Manchester City out on Gillingham on Saturday, but his side’s hectic workload makes that easier said than done.

This will be the Brewers’ ninth match in 28 days, with no more than four days’ recovery time between any of them, while the physical and mental effects of such a defeat must be hard to overcome in under 72 hours.

Gillingham are in positive mood after knocking Cardiff out of the FA Cup last weekend, while they have lost just four of their last 11 away matches in all competitions.

*Odds subject to change.

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